TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13019833
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
3.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113711119911––
Krzysztof Wloczko
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Wloczko to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
1113711119911––
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 21–113 Krzysztof Wloczko Marcin Balcerzak has won 21 of their 134 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Wloczko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-113 in 134
Wloczko
Correct
gap of 92 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcerzak 1683 vs Wloczko 1832
Wloczko
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcerzak 80% vs Wloczko 40%
Balcerzak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcerzak 90% vs Wloczko 50%
Balcerzak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcerzak -1 · Wloczko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Wloczko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wloczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 3.95 / Wloczko 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Wloczko)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13019833
Balcerzak3.95
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog36% won 133 of 366
Down 0–1, comes back16% 33 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Wloczko1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 230 of 385
Up 2–0, closes it97% 102 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it78% 179 of 229
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak2wins
AwayWloczko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWloczko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak66.7%2 of 3
AwayWloczko100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak3Wloczko7n = 10Wloczko took 7 of 10
S2Balcerzak8Wloczko2n = 10Balcerzak took 8 of 10
S3Balcerzak2Wloczko8n = 10Wloczko took 8 of 10
S4Balcerzak1Wloczko9n = 10Wloczko took 9 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakWloczkoB − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.941.6−4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakWloczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime647 / 1566 vs 957 / 183441.3%52.2%647 / 1566 vs 957 / 1834Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WloczkoBalcerzak 3.95/Wloczko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Wloczko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak—1171191K. Wloczko—13119113
WAug 14 · 13:50M. Balcerzak—111198113K. Wloczko—74111192
LAug 12 · 09:00M. Balcerzak—1011651K. Wloczko—12811113
LAug 5 · 09:00M. Balcerzak—6118101K. Wloczko—11611123
LAug 3 · 11:20M. Balcerzak—611641K. Wloczko—11411113
LJun 30 · 09:00M. Balcerzak—11611772K. Wloczko—911811113
LJun 29 · 13:50M. Balcerzak—1111791K. Wloczko—13711113
WJun 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak—111111113K. Wloczko—881391
LJun 25 · 13:20M. Balcerzak—411691K. Wloczko—11711113
LJun 22 · 03:00M. Balcerzak—911851K. Wloczko—11811113
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 11:20M. Balcerzak1.77117121052K. Wisniewski1.959111012113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 09:20M. Balcerzak2.951181110113A. Daniel1.3671191272WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak1.421211113M. Minda2.6010280WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 05:35M. Balcerzak1.3315119113J. Glanowski2.951391191WAug 26 · 04:00M. Balcerzak1.321112113B. Sulkowski3.0071080WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
K. Wloczko10
WSep 7 · 11:20M. Sklensky2.327820K. Wloczko1.521111113LSep 7 · 10:30G. Poliniewicz3.1011911123K. Wloczko1.307116101WSep 7 · 09:00K. Strowski2.5091312101K. Wloczko1.44111510123WSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192WSep 4 · 12:35J. Zochniak4.955980K. Wloczko1.131111113LSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682WSep 4 · 10:55K. Wloczko1.951111113S. Dosz1.758960LSep 4 · 09:45K. Wloczko1.65811581G. Poliniewicz2.0511611113WSep 3 · 08:05S. Dosz1.57951531K. Wloczko2.25111113113WSep 3 · 07:20D. Michna1.737970K. Wloczko2.001111113
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