TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13017220
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210112118––––
Michal Minda
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:33 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeMarcin Balcerzak to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
1210112118––––
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 26–15 Michal Minda Michal Minda has won 15 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Balcerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-15 in 41
Balcerzak
Correct
gap of 11 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcerzak 1693 vs Minda 1562
Balcerzak
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcerzak 100% vs Minda 40%
Balcerzak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcerzak 80% vs Minda 60%
Balcerzak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcerzak +5 · Minda -1
Balcerzak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Balcerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balcerzak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 1.42 / Minda 2.60
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Balcerzak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13017220
Balcerzak1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 179 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it98% 106 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it93% 137 of 147
Minda2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 177 of 402
Down 0–1, comes back25% 54 of 220
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak6wins
AwayMinda4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBalcerzak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak85.7%6 of 7
AwayMinda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak7Minda3n = 10Balcerzak took 7 of 10
S2Balcerzak5Minda5n = 10split evenly
S3Balcerzak7Minda3n = 10Balcerzak took 7 of 10
S4Balcerzak5Minda1n = 6Balcerzak took 5 of 6
S5Balcerzak0Minda3n = 3Minda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakMindaB − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.0+5.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 1562 vs 1026 / 201141.3%51%645 / 1562 vs 1026 / 2011Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcerzakBalcerzak 1.42/Minda 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Balcerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Balcerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak—1211113M. Minda—10280
WAug 14 · 04:50M. Balcerzak—14511113M. Minda—1211611
LAug 12 · 08:05M. Balcerzak—1211119102M. Minda—146511123
LAug 7 · 05:35M. Balcerzak—79110M. Minda—1111133
LAug 3 · 05:35M. Balcerzak—1110611102M. Minda—612119123
WJul 2 · 08:05M. Balcerzak—12114113M. Minda—1061171
WJul 2 · 05:35M. Balcerzak—1111113M. Minda—5750
WJun 22 · 10:55M. Balcerzak—111011113M. Minda—412961
WJun 1 · 08:10M. Balcerzak—1111113M. Minda—6930
LMay 29 · 13:55M. Balcerzak—26111182M. Minda—111159113
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak3.951171191K. Wloczko1.2013119113LAug 26 · 11:20M. Balcerzak1.77117121052K. Wisniewski1.959111012113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 09:20M. Balcerzak2.951181110113A. Daniel1.3671191272WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 05:35M. Balcerzak1.3315119113J. Glanowski2.951391191WAug 26 · 04:00M. Balcerzak1.321112113B. Sulkowski3.0071080WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
M. Minda10
WSep 7 · 11:00M. Minda1.907111111113S. Brud1.8011813872WSep 7 · 09:50M. Minda1.2571111113M. Zwolinski3.40113531LSep 7 · 08:05M. Minda1.5910860D. Solilo2.161211113LSep 7 · 06:25J. Zochniak1.54111111113M. Minda2.25881381LSep 7 · 05:35M. Sklensky1.471111113M. Minda2.459480WSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131LSep 7 · 03:40M. Minda1.95711101182A. Sobel1.76119129113WSep 5 · 14:15K. Klocek2.70101113121M. Minda1.3512815143WSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113
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