TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13019842
Played Aug 26Finished
Marcin Balcerzak
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11971112101012511
Karol Wisniewski
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarcin Balcerzak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
11971112101012511
H2H Marcin Balcerzak 75–72 Karol Wisniewski Karol Wisniewski has won 72 of their 147 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:55What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Balcerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
75-72 in 147
Balcerzak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 147, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Balcerzak 1703 vs Wisniewski 1679
Balcerzak
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcerzak 100% vs Wisniewski 40%
Balcerzak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcerzak 90% vs Wisniewski 30%
Balcerzak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcerzak +5 · Wisniewski +1
Balcerzak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Balcerzak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcerzak 1.77 / Wisniewski 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Balcerzak)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13019842
Balcerzak1.77
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite71% won 179 of 252
Up 2–0, closes it98% 106 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it93% 137 of 147
Wisniewski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 259 of 654
Down 0–1, comes back20% 78 of 400
Down 0–2, comes back4% 9 of 234
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalcerzak4wins
AwayWisniewski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWisniewski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalcerzak75%3 of 4
AwayWisniewski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balcerzak4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Balcerzak4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S3Balcerzak5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Balcerzak4Wisniewski2n = 6Balcerzak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalcerzakWisniewskiB − WBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.133.1+1.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcerzakWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime645 / 1562 vs 1025 / 223641.3%45.8%645 / 1562 vs 1025 / 2236Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcerzakBalcerzak 1.77/Wisniewski 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Balcerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 13:25M. Balcerzak—3270K. Wisniewski—1111113
WAug 17 · 12:35M. Balcerzak—81111113K. Wisniewski—116691
WAug 7 · 13:50M. Balcerzak—11119113K. Wisniewski—461131
LAug 3 · 13:50M. Balcerzak—89100K. Wisniewski—1111123
WJul 2 · 11:20M. Balcerzak—11811113K. Wisniewski—911721
LJun 30 · 13:25M. Balcerzak—9580K. Wisniewski—1111113
WJun 29 · 11:20M. Balcerzak—1111113K. Wisniewski—4960
LJun 26 · 13:45M. Balcerzak—117681K. Wisniewski—41111113
LJun 26 · 04:10M. Balcerzak—136111152K. Wisniewski—151162113
LJun 22 · 14:15M. Balcerzak—311119112K. Wisniewski—118211133
M. Balcerzak10
WAug 26 · 13:50M. Balcerzak2.201111123G. Poliniewicz1.5798100LAug 26 · 12:35M. Balcerzak3.951171191K. Wloczko1.2013119113WAug 26 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz1.30571212102M. Balcerzak3.1511111010123WAug 26 · 09:20M. Balcerzak2.951181110113A. Daniel1.3671191272WAug 26 · 08:30M. Balcerzak1.421211113M. Minda2.6010280WAug 26 · 06:50M. Balcerzak1.42111011113J. Zochniak2.65512461WAug 26 · 05:35M. Balcerzak1.3315119113J. Glanowski2.951391191WAug 26 · 04:00M. Balcerzak1.321112113B. Sulkowski3.0071080WAug 26 · 03:00M. Balcerzak1.301111113A. Lilien3.107570WAug 24 · 14:20P. Blocho1.80751151M. Balcerzak1.9111119113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 7 · 10:55K. Wisniewski2.759811101K. Glazowski1.4011118123WSep 7 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2.331111313123G. Poliniewicz1.51891115102LSep 7 · 08:30M. Sklensky1.3711118113K. Wisniewski2.80761171LSep 7 · 07:15K. Wisniewski1.6881191132D. Solilo2.05113115113LSep 7 · 06:00A. Sobel2.60121111113K. Wisniewski1.42149591LSep 7 · 04:50M. Minda2.80101113153K. Wisniewski1.3712811131WSep 7 · 03:20J. Zochniak2.95881141K. Wisniewski1.3311116113LSep 4 · 14:15K. Wloczko1.411011116113K. Wisniewski2.6012781192LSep 4 · 13:25S. Dosz1.221211123K. Wisniewski4.00106100LSep 4 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.5511411113K. Wisniewski1.42611391
Upcoming Matches
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K. Wisniewski
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