TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12447171
Played Aug 17Finished
Blazej Warpas
Home
1.96
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611611––––
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kotyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
611611611––––
H2H Blazej Warpas 20–12 Krzysztof Kotyl Krzysztof Kotyl has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Kotyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Warpas
Wrong
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1300 vs Kotyl 1350
Kotyl
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 40% vs Kotyl 60%
Kotyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 40% vs Kotyl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -2 · Kotyl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warpas form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 1.96 / Kotyl 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kotyl)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #12447171
Warpas1.96
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 122 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back17% 26 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 86
Kotyl1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 208 of 379
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it78% 144 of 185
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarpas7wins
AwayKotyl3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWarpas leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpas87.5%7 of 8
AwayKotyln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas8Kotyl2n = 10Warpas took 8 of 10
S2Warpas4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S3Warpas6Kotyl4n = 10Warpas took 6 of 10
S4Warpas5Kotyl4n = 9Warpas took 5 of 9
S5Warpas2Kotyl1n = 3Warpas took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarpasKotylW − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.5+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 784 vs 1034 / 218452.4%47.3%411 / 784 vs 1034 / 2184Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotylWarpas 1.96/Kotyl 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 05:50B. Warpas—111179113K. Kotyl—66111182
WAug 12 · 04:55B. Warpas—1171110123K. Kotyl—911712102
WAug 11 · 07:40B. Warpas—11411133K. Kotyl—9117111
WAug 10 · 08:35B. Warpas—1111123K. Kotyl—68100
WAug 7 · 06:05B. Warpas—111011113K. Kotyl—812691
LJul 24 · 11:40B. Warpas—1171181K. Kotyl—51113113
WJul 24 · 05:15B. Warpas—12711113K. Kotyl—1011691
WJul 24 · 03:00B. Warpas—11115113K. Kotyl—581181
LJul 20 · 05:15B. Warpas—91151182K. Kotyl—118117113
LJul 20 · 03:00B. Warpas—781171K. Kotyl—11118113
B. Warpas10
WAug 21 · 13:55B. Warpas1.9011136113A. Mugowski1.768111151LAug 21 · 12:40B. Warpas2.90101171292M. Minda1.351291110113LAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113LAug 21 · 10:10D. Solilo1.3711115113B. Warpas2.87991171WAug 21 · 09:25B. Warpas2.4671111123R. Stapor1.461189101LAug 21 · 08:35B. Warpas1.951310111152A. Mugowski1.75151278113WAug 21 · 06:55B. Warpas2.25114117113B. Sulkowski1.5541191192WAug 21 · 05:40B. Warpas1.661111113M. Lukaszewski2.055880LAug 21 · 04:10B. Warpas1.7411791172K. Sulkowski1.94311116113LAug 21 · 03:00B. Warpas2.858990M. Misiak1.361111113
K. Kotyl10
WAug 17 · 08:10A. Myszewski1.821011111172K. Kotyl1.86127913113LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 17 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.8651040K. Kotyl1.831112113WAug 14 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.877970K. Kotyl1.851111113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520WAug 14 · 05:15M. Trela2.0010980K. Kotyl1.721211113LAug 14 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.701411911113K. Kotyl1.95121311772LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
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