TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12445603
Played Aug 17Finished
Igor Dabrowski
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012411––––
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Dabrowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
5111012411––––
H2H Igor Dabrowski 58–67 Krzysztof Kotyl Igor Dabrowski has won 58 of their 125 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:21What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kotyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-67 in 125
Kotyl
Correct
gap of 9 in 125, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dabrowski 1413 vs Kotyl 1343
Dabrowski
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dabrowski 40% vs Kotyl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dabrowski 70% vs Kotyl 40%
Dabrowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dabrowski -2 · Kotyl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dabrowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDabrowski 1.86 / Kotyl 1.83
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Dabrowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12445603
Dabrowski1.86
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog42% won 139 of 332
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Kotyl1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 207 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 143 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDabrowski5wins
AwayKotyl5wins
9 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDabrowski100%4 of 4
AwayKotyl83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dabrowski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S2Dabrowski6Kotyl4n = 10Dabrowski took 6 of 10
S3Dabrowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S4Dabrowski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S5Dabrowski5Kotyl4n = 9Dabrowski took 5 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDabrowskiKotylD − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.744.9−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDabrowskiKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime845 / 1670 vs 1033 / 218250.6%47.3%845 / 1670 vs 1033 / 2182Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DabrowskiDabrowski 1.86/Kotyl 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Dabrowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 07:20I. Dabrowski—111151152K. Kotyl—138117113
WAug 6 · 03:25I. Dabrowski—115149113K. Kotyl—511121162
WJul 23 · 06:05I. Dabrowski—111116113K. Kotyl—61151192
LJul 23 · 03:50I. Dabrowski—111181172K. Kotyl—138118113
LJun 15 · 23:45I. Dabrowski—81171172K. Kotyl—116114113
WJun 15 · 21:20I. Dabrowski—1211117113K. Kotyl—14591142
LJun 11 · 06:15I. Dabrowski—91111582K. Kotyl—118811113
LJun 11 · 03:45I. Dabrowski—311971K. Kotyl—11611113
WJun 8 · 10:05I. Dabrowski—128811113K. Kotyl—101111762
WJun 8 · 06:15I. Dabrowski—116117113K. Kotyl—61191152
I. Dabrowski10
LSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113WSep 6 · 12:35I. Dabrowski1.7411118113P. Staniszewski1.94971151LSep 6 · 11:20I. Dabrowski2.401011141192D. Wasilewski1.50126166113WSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:20I. Dabrowski1.371111812102T. Pisarczyk2.75721114123LSep 6 · 08:30I. Dabrowski1.907111121M. Zagajewski1.8011137113WSep 6 · 06:50I. Dabrowski1.4011813113T. Pisarczyk2.752111171LSep 6 · 05:35I. Dabrowski2.40311981D. Wasilewski1.5011911113WSep 6 · 04:00I. Dabrowski1.6614711113P. Staniszewski2.101211771LSep 6 · 03:00I. Dabrowski—8111451G. Adamiak—11616113
K. Kotyl10
WAug 17 · 08:10A. Myszewski1.821011111172K. Kotyl1.86127913113LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191WAug 17 · 05:15B. Warpas1.966660K. Kotyl1.761111113LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 14 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.877970K. Kotyl1.851111113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520WAug 14 · 05:15M. Trela2.0010980K. Kotyl1.721211113LAug 14 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.701411911113K. Kotyl1.95121311772LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
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