TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12447380
Played Aug 17Finished
Adrian Myszewski
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121171191113711
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:50 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kotyl to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
10121171191113711
H2H Adrian Myszewski 14–16 Krzysztof Kotyl Adrian Myszewski has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 05:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Myszewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Kotyl
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Myszewski 1274 vs Kotyl 1347
Kotyl
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Myszewski 40% vs Kotyl 60%
Kotyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Myszewski 50% vs Kotyl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Myszewski +2 · Kotyl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotyl) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Myszewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMyszewski 1.82 / Kotyl 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kotyl)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12447380
Myszewski1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 63 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it72% 49 of 68
Kotyl1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 240 of 580
Down 0–1, comes back21% 71 of 336
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMyszewski3wins
AwayKotyl7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKotyl leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMyszewski25%1 of 4
AwayKotyl66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Myszewski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S2Myszewski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S3Myszewski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S4Myszewski3Kotyl7n = 10Kotyl took 7 of 10
S5Myszewski2Kotyl2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMyszewskiKotylM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.643.1−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMyszewskiKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 854 vs 1035 / 218549.4%47.4%422 / 854 vs 1035 / 2185Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotylMyszewski 1.82/Kotyl 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kotyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 08:35A. Myszewski—139771K. Kotyl—111111113
LAug 3 · 07:40A. Myszewski—101110101K. Kotyl—12512123
WMay 28 · 06:05A. Myszewski—119118113K. Kotyl—91191152
LMar 12 · 08:20A. Myszewski—91181142K. Kotyl—119119113
LMar 4 · 05:10A. Myszewski—118671K. Kotyl—91111113
WFeb 11 · 10:20A. Myszewski—5111112113K. Kotyl—11691452
LFeb 11 · 04:20A. Myszewski—6101191K. Kotyl—11128113
LFeb 10 · 07:15A. Myszewski—111181192K. Kotyl—137116113
WFeb 10 · 04:45A. Myszewski—41111123K. Kotyl—1139101
LFeb 2 · 04:00A. Myszewski—115771K. Kotyl—71111113
A. Myszewski10
LSep 8 · 14:20A. Lilien1.5711119113A. Myszewski2.20851191WSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 11:25J. Glanowski1.511111128113A. Myszewski2.2887141192LSep 8 · 10:35A. Sobel1.431111113A. Myszewski2.505890LSep 8 · 09:00S. Brud1.55111111113A. Myszewski2.25413681LSep 8 · 08:10R. Stapor1.731211123A. Myszewski2.00107100LSep 8 · 07:20A. Linek1.75101111143A. Myszewski1.981289121WSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:30D. Wrobel2.0691190A. Myszewski1.621113113WSep 8 · 03:00J. Glanowski1.605111151A. Myszewski2.0611913113
K. Kotyl10
LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191WAug 17 · 05:15B. Warpas1.966660K. Kotyl1.761111113LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 17 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.8651040K. Kotyl1.831112113WAug 14 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.877970K. Kotyl1.851111113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520WAug 14 · 05:15M. Trela2.0010980K. Kotyl1.721211113LAug 14 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.701411911113K. Kotyl1.95121311772LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
Upcoming Matches
A. Myszewski
Sep 9 · 15:25A. Myszewski1.38K. Golaszewski2.65—Sep 9 · 16:55A. Myszewski1.76K. Klocek1.88—Sep 9 · 18:10A. Myszewski1.46P. Strus2.50—Sep 9 · 20:30A. Myszewski1.67M. Trela2.00—Sep 9 · 21:30A. Myszewski1.81K. Klocek1.83—Sep 9 · 21:55A. Myszewski1.41K. Golaszewski2.55—Sep 9 · 23:20A. Myszewski—M. Trela——
K. Kotyl
Nothing scheduled
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