TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12431960
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Sulkowski
Home
1.87
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kotyl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
711911711––––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 25–21 Krzysztof Kotyl Krzysztof Kotyl has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kotyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-21 in 46
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1269 vs Kotyl 1331
Kotyl
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Kotyl 20%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 30% vs Kotyl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -3 · Kotyl -1
Sulkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyl form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.87 / Kotyl 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kotyl)+3.7pp
TT Elite Series · #12431960
Sulkowski1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 163 of 436
Down 0–1, comes back16% 42 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 138
Kotyl1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 207 of 379
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 143 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayKotyl5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski60%3 of 5
AwayKotyl60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S5Sulkowski3Kotyl1n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiKotylS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.941.1−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime579 / 1171 vs 1035 / 219249.4%47.2%579 / 1171 vs 1035 / 2192Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotylSulkowski 1.87/Kotyl 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—671111113K. Kotyl—11119792
LAug 12 · 08:10K. Sulkowski—113871K. Kotyl—91111113
LAug 11 · 06:55K. Sulkowski—6117101K. Kotyl—11711123
WAug 10 · 03:25K. Sulkowski—116115113K. Kotyl—81141162
WAug 7 · 03:25K. Sulkowski—11711153K. Kotyl—7118131
LAug 6 · 04:10K. Sulkowski—811771K. Kotyl—11511113
WAug 5 · 06:05K. Sulkowski—411911113K. Kotyl—11511962
LJul 24 · 10:40K. Sulkowski—611791K. Kotyl—11811113
LJul 17 · 05:40K. Sulkowski—11281192K. Kotyl—811117113
WJul 17 · 03:25K. Sulkowski—11611113K. Kotyl—711871
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113
K. Kotyl10
WAug 17 · 08:10A. Myszewski1.821011111172K. Kotyl1.86127913113LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191WAug 17 · 05:15B. Warpas1.966660K. Kotyl1.761111113LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 17 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.8651040K. Kotyl1.831112113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520WAug 14 · 05:15M. Trela2.0010980K. Kotyl1.721211113LAug 14 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.701411911113K. Kotyl1.95121311772LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
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