TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12429800
Played Aug 14Finished
Mateusz Trela
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911811––––
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1012911811––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 64–70 Krzysztof Kotyl Mateusz Trela has won 64 of their 134 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:31What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Kotyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-70 in 134
Kotyl
Correct
gap of 6 in 134, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1317 vs Kotyl 1332
Kotyl
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 60% vs Kotyl 20%
Trela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Kotyl 40%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +1 · Kotyl -3
Kotyl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kotyl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyl form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 2.00 / Kotyl 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kotyl)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #12429800
Trela2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 190 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back25% 57 of 224
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 103
Kotyl1.72
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 207 of 379
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 143 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela4wins
AwayKotyl6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKotyl leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela60%3 of 5
AwayKotyl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela4Kotyl6n = 10Kotyl took 6 of 10
S4Trela3Kotyl6n = 9Kotyl took 6 of 9
S5Trela3Kotyl3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaKotylT − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.343.6−2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime765 / 1572 vs 1034 / 219048.7%47.2%765 / 1572 vs 1034 / 2190Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotylTrela 2.00/Kotyl 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kotyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kotyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 06:05M. Trela—116114113K. Kotyl—91191172
LAug 5 · 03:25M. Trela—811121082K. Kotyl—1131012113
LJul 15 · 17:45M. Trela—91111662K. Kotyl—119811113
WJul 10 · 05:40M. Trela—11119113K. Kotyl—771151
LJul 10 · 03:25M. Trela—11891182K. Kotyl—811115113
LJun 11 · 05:50M. Trela—14970K. Kotyl—1611113
WJun 11 · 03:20M. Trela—138411113K. Kotyl—111111782
WJun 10 · 05:25M. Trela—911125123K. Kotyl—1141011102
LJun 10 · 03:00M. Trela—711371K. Kotyl—11811113
LJun 8 · 13:00M. Trela—1110771K. Kotyl—91211113
M. Trela10
LSep 8 · 24:10M. Trela1.66681111102B. Mrugala2.05111179123LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela1.86811811132W. Iwasyszyn1.83119117153WSep 7 · 21:55M. Trela1.701116113K. Golaszewski2.0081460WSep 7 · 21:30M. Trela1.95811811113J. Przewlocki1.7411811462LSep 7 · 20:30W. Iwasyszyn1.85851111113M. Trela1.8011118352WSep 7 · 19:20M. Trela1.761491110133J. Nosiadek1.901211612112WSep 7 · 18:10P. Strus2.203111181M. Trela1.6011613113WSep 7 · 16:55J. Przewlocki1.85881471M. Trela1.85111112113WSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala2.356590M. Trela1.511111113WSep 6 · 23:20A. Myszewski1.91815100M. Trela1.771117123
K. Kotyl10
WAug 17 · 08:10A. Myszewski1.821011111172K. Kotyl1.86127913113LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191WAug 17 · 05:15B. Warpas1.966660K. Kotyl1.761111113LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 17 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.8651040K. Kotyl1.831112113WAug 14 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.877970K. Kotyl1.851111113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520LAug 14 · 04:30B. Sulkowski1.701411911113K. Kotyl1.95121311772LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
Upcoming Matches
M. Trela1 of 8 neutral
Sep 9 · 15:00M. Trela—P. Ostachowski——Sep 9 · 16:15M. Trela1.49K. Golaszewski2.33—Sep 9 · 17:45M. Trela1.96K. Klocek1.70—Sep 9 · 18:55M. Trela1.56P. Strus2.17—Sep 9 · 20:30M. Trela2.00A. Myszewski1.67—Sep 9 · 22:15M. Trela—K. Klocek——Sep 9 · 22:35M. Trela—K. Golaszewski——Sep 9 · 23:20M. Trela—A. Myszewski——
K. Kotyl
Nothing scheduled
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