TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12429721
Played Aug 14Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14121113911117117
Krzysztof Kotyl
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:50 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
14121113911117117
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 12–11 Krzysztof Kotyl Krzysztof Kotyl has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1421 vs Kotyl 1340
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Kotyl 20%
Sulkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 70% vs Kotyl 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Kotyl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kotyl form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.70 / Kotyl 1.95
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sulkowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12429721
Sulkowski1.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 195 of 347
Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it81% 147 of 182
Kotyl1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 243 of 586
Down 0–1, comes back22% 74 of 340
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski4wins
AwayKotyl6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderKotyl leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski80%4 of 5
AwayKotyl100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski3Kotyl7n = 10Kotyl took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski5Kotyl5n = 10split evenly
S5Sulkowski4Kotyl4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiKotylS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.743.1−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiKotylBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 1126 vs 1034 / 218943.3%47.2%487 / 1126 vs 1034 / 2189Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.70/Kotyl 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 07:20B. Sulkowski—71151182K. Kotyl—114118113
LAug 7 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—81181182K. Kotyl—118117113
LAug 6 · 05:15B. Sulkowski—15351142K. Kotyl—1311116113
WAug 5 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—111175113K. Kotyl—76111182
WJul 24 · 07:20B. Sulkowski—116117113K. Kotyl—41171152
LJul 24 · 04:55B. Sulkowski—71141262K. Kotyl—1171110113
WJul 23 · 05:40B. Sulkowski—118116113K. Kotyl—41151162
LJul 23 · 03:25B. Sulkowski—711671K. Kotyl—11511113
WJul 17 · 10:10B. Sulkowski—114711113K. Kotyl—51111582
LJul 3 · 09:50B. Sulkowski—661151K. Kotyl—11117113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133WSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113
K. Kotyl10
WAug 17 · 08:10A. Myszewski1.821011111172K. Kotyl1.86127913113LAug 17 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski1.7511116113K. Kotyl1.95981191WAug 17 · 05:15B. Warpas1.966660K. Kotyl1.761111113LAug 17 · 04:30K. Rudomina1.4211175113K. Kotyl2.607151181WAug 17 · 03:00I. Dabrowski1.8651040K. Kotyl1.831112113WAug 14 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.877970K. Kotyl1.851111113LAug 14 · 07:20K. Klocek1.581111113K. Kotyl2.097520WAug 14 · 05:15M. Trela2.0010980K. Kotyl1.721211113LAug 14 · 03:00A. Myszewski1.851241111113K. Kotyl1.8514117872LAug 13 · 08:10K. Sulkowski1.80671111113K. Kotyl1.9011119792
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