TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12426656
Played Aug 13Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.26
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114113––––
Aleksander Szydlo
Away
3.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
119114113––––
H2H Marek Tkocz 3–0 Aleksander Szydlo Aleksander Szydlo has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Tkocz
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1446 vs Szydlo 1318
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Szydlo 40%
Tkocz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 60% vs Szydlo 30%
Tkocz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz -1 · Szydlo -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szydlo form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.26 / Szydlo 3.45
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Tkocz)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12426656
Tkocz1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 321 of 461
Up 2–0, closes it95% 182 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it84% 259 of 310
Szydlo3.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTkocz3wins
AwaySzydlo0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderTkocz leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkocz2Szydlo1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S2Tkocz2Szydlo1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S3Tkocz2Szydlo1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S4Tkocz2Szydlo1n = 3Tkocz took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricTkoczSzydloT − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match45.337.3+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczSzydloBasisWin rate · lifetime780 / 1159 vs 82 / 16167.3%50.9%780 / 1159 vs 82 / 161Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.26/Szydlo 3.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz—12112123A. Szydlo—10611101
WJun 25 · 21:10M. Tkocz—1211119113A. Szydlo—14531152
WJun 25 · 16:50M. Tkocz—131011113A. Szydlo—1112861
M. Tkocz10
LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163LSep 11 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.80491115112K. Durak1.901111813133WSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661LSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472
A. Szydlo10
WAug 14 · 02:45M. Lebek1.4711117482A. Szydlo2.44561111113LAug 14 · 01:35A. Szydlo2.3061180P. Gumulinski1.521113113LAug 14 · 24:25J. Pelka1.461111113A. Szydlo2.502380LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka1.51911991A. Szydlo2.3411611113LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.4712112123A. Szydlo2.4010611101LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
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