TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12425296
Played Aug 13Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.51
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116911911––
Aleksander Szydlo
Away
2.34
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
911116911911––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 2–0 Aleksander Szydlo Aleksander Szydlo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1286 vs Szydlo 1316
Szydlo
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 0% vs Szydlo 20%
Szydlo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 30% vs Szydlo 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -5 · Szydlo -1
Pelka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szydlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.51 / Szydlo 2.34
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Pelka)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12425296
Pelka1.51
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 98 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 66 of 103
Szydlo2.34
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwaySzydlo0wins
Pelka leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPelkaSzydloP − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.519.0+14.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaSzydloBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 937 vs 81 / 15947%50.9%440 / 937 vs 81 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.51/Szydlo 2.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szydlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 6 · 17:40J. Pelka—1112113A. Szydlo—51060
WMar 6 · 11:40J. Pelka—1111113A. Szydlo—4670
J. Pelka10
LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153
A. Szydlo10
WAug 14 · 02:45M. Lebek1.4711117482A. Szydlo2.44561111113LAug 14 · 01:35A. Szydlo2.3061180P. Gumulinski1.521113113LAug 14 · 24:25J. Pelka1.461111113A. Szydlo2.502380LAug 13 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.261111113A. Szydlo3.459430LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.4712112123A. Szydlo2.4010611101LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
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