TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12429343
Played Aug 14Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115116711411811
Aleksander Szydlo
Away
2.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:10 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
115116711411811
H2H Marian Lebek 1–1 Aleksander Szydlo Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1429 vs Szydlo 1283
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 60% vs Szydlo 20%
Lebek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Szydlo 20%
Lebek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +3 · Szydlo -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szydlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.47 / Szydlo 2.44
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lebek)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12429343
Lebek1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 244 of 390
Up 2–0, closes it97% 150 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it82% 202 of 246
Szydlo2.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLebek1wins
AwaySzydlo1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLebekSzydloL − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.535.0+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSzydloBasisWin rate · lifetime829 / 1435 vs 82 / 16457.8%50%829 / 1435 vs 82 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.47/Szydlo 2.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szydlo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 27 · 04:55M. Lebek—11611672A. Szydlo—711611113
WFeb 27 · 01:00M. Lebek—1211113A. Szydlo—10680
M. Lebek10
WSep 11 · 08:00R. Idaczyk2.353690M. Lebek1.501111113WSep 11 · 07:10Y. Fomin2.20471161M. Lebek1.5711115113LSep 11 · 06:25M. Lebek1.37111181082J. Nowak2.70691112113LSep 11 · 04:50M. Lebek1.16911771R. Komandzik4.3511311113WSep 11 · 04:00M. Adamus2.35781181M. Lebek1.5011118113WSep 11 · 02:45M. Lebek1.421111133J. Nowak2.6086110LSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113LSep 11 · 24:00M. Lebek1.90116371K. Durak1.8071111113LSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380
A. Szydlo10
LAug 14 · 01:35A. Szydlo2.3061180P. Gumulinski1.521113113LAug 14 · 24:25J. Pelka1.461111113A. Szydlo2.502380LAug 13 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.261111113A. Szydlo3.459430LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka1.51911991A. Szydlo2.3411611113LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.4712112123A. Szydlo2.4010611101LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
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