TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12423852
Played Aug 13Finished
Marek Tkocz
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101162111210––
Aleksander Szydlo
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 73.0% is still 73.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
73.0%
73.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
12101162111210––
H2H Marek Tkocz 2–0 Aleksander Szydlo Aleksander Szydlo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tkocz 1453 vs Szydlo 1314
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkocz 60% vs Szydlo 20%
Tkocz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkocz 70% vs Szydlo 40%
Tkocz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkocz -1 · Szydlo -4
Szydlo
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szydlo form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkocz 1.47 / Szydlo 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Tkocz)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12423852
Tkocz1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 321 of 461
Up 2–0, closes it95% 182 of 191
Up 1–0, closes it84% 259 of 310
Szydlo2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTkocz2wins
AwaySzydlo0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderTkocz leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTkoczSzydloT − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match49.537.5+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkoczSzydloBasisWin rate · lifetime777 / 1154 vs 80 / 15667.3%51.3%777 / 1154 vs 80 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczTkocz 1.47/Szydlo 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 25 · 21:10M. Tkocz—1211119113A. Szydlo—14531152
WJun 25 · 16:50M. Tkocz—131011113A. Szydlo—1112861
M. Tkocz10
LSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163LSep 11 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.80491115112K. Durak1.901111813133WSep 10 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.2011911113R. Komandzik3.90711311WSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661LSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472
A. Szydlo10
WAug 14 · 02:45M. Lebek1.4711117482A. Szydlo2.44561111113LAug 14 · 01:35A. Szydlo2.3061180P. Gumulinski1.521113113LAug 14 · 24:25J. Pelka1.461111113A. Szydlo2.502380LAug 13 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.261111113A. Szydlo3.459430LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka1.51911991A. Szydlo2.3411611113LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
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