TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12427154
Played Aug 14Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112113118––––
Aleksander Szydlo
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:50 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
112113118––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 2–1 Aleksander Szydlo Aleksander Szydlo has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:50What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Pelka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1282 vs Szydlo 1308
Szydlo
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Szydlo 40%
Szydlo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 20% vs Szydlo 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Szydlo -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.46 / Szydlo 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Pelka)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12427154
Pelka1.46
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 98 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 66 of 103
Szydlo2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwaySzydlo1wins
Pelka leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka2Szydlo1n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
S2Pelka3Szydlo0n = 3Pelka took 3 of 3
S3Pelka2Szydlo1n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPelkaSzydloP − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.025.7+9.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaSzydloBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 941 vs 82 / 16246.9%50.6%441 / 941 vs 82 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.46/Szydlo 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka—911991A. Szydlo—11611113
WMar 6 · 17:40J. Pelka—1112113A. Szydlo—51060
WMar 6 · 11:40J. Pelka—1111113A. Szydlo—4670
J. Pelka10
LSep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.531731361P. Slosarczyk2.38191111113WSep 11 · 12:40M. Baron1.73711111172J. Pelka2.00111376113WSep 11 · 11:50Z. Sobkow1.7391271192J. Pelka2.001110119113LSep 11 · 11:00J. Pelka1.50861111112O. Sokolowski2.50111148133WSep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.7511611113O. Jadach1.40311891WSep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53513119113P. Slosarczyk2.38111181182WSep 11 · 06:30M. Baron1.73912211102J. Pelka2.001110119123WSep 11 · 05:40O. Jadach1.50612781J. Pelka2.50111011113WSep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.671211113O. Sokolowski2.1010690LSep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.201111911132Z. Sobkow1.61461113153
A. Szydlo10
WAug 14 · 02:45M. Lebek1.4711117482A. Szydlo2.44561111113LAug 14 · 01:35A. Szydlo2.3061180P. Gumulinski1.521113113LAug 13 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.261111113A. Szydlo3.459430LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka1.51911991A. Szydlo2.3411611113LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.4712112123A. Szydlo2.4010611101LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
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