TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12428061
Played Aug 14Finished
Aleksander Szydlo
Home
2.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113811––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.52
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:10 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
6111113811––––
H2H Aleksander Szydlo 0–2 Piotr Gumulinski Aleksander Szydlo has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (60%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szydlo 1293 vs Gumulinski 1398
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szydlo 20% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szydlo 20% vs Gumulinski 50%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szydlo -3 · Gumulinski +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzydlo 2.30 / Gumulinski 1.52
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Gumulinski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12428061
Szydlo2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Gumulinski1.52
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 343 of 573
Up 2–0, closes it92% 153 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it75% 226 of 303
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzydlo0wins
AwayGumulinski2wins
Gumulinski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSzydloGumulinskiS − GBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match30.540.5−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzydloGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 163 vs 1042 / 183550.3%56.8%82 / 163 vs 1042 / 1835Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSzydlo 2.30/Gumulinski 1.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 9 · 05:05A. Szydlo—5860P. Gumulinski—1111113
LMay 8 · 20:45A. Szydlo—1881151P. Gumulinski—20116113
A. Szydlo10
WAug 14 · 02:45M. Lebek1.4711117482A. Szydlo2.44561111113LAug 14 · 24:25J. Pelka1.461111113A. Szydlo2.502380LAug 13 · 23:10M. Tkocz1.261111113A. Szydlo3.459430LAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151WAug 13 · 20:45J. Pelka1.51911991A. Szydlo2.3411611113LAug 13 · 19:35A. Szydlo1.8311122121K. Juszczyk1.8661411143WAug 13 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.25911171A. Szydlo3.5011117113LAug 13 · 17:10M. Tkocz1.4712112123A. Szydlo2.4010611101LAug 13 · 15:35J. Orszulik—111110113A. Szydlo—471231LJul 4 · 01:45A. Szydlo1.80912991G. Sawicki1.91111011113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 13:30K. Schaniel2.2591111792P. Gumulinski1.57119911113WSep 9 · 11:25P. Przewlocki2.75811101152P. Gumulinski1.40116129113LSep 9 · 10:35R. Gajda2.10117811113P. Gumulinski1.6781111792LSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102WSep 9 · 07:20K. Schaniel2.107650P. Gumulinski1.671111113WSep 9 · 05:15P. Przewlocki2.757880P. Gumulinski1.401111113LSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102WSep 9 · 03:00R. Gajda2.007890P. Gumulinski1.731111113
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