TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Lars Hubner vs Damian Zech 0-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Jul 23Finished
Lars Hubner
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
0–3Last 3Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711311––––
Damian Zech
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Zech to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLars Hubner above · Damian Zech below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 52 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Damian Zech at 75.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Zech
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Hubner 0% vs Zech 40%
Zech
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubner 0% vs Zech 40%
Zech
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubner -3 · Zech -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Zech)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zech form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubner 3.75 / Zech 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Zech)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12287789
Hubner3.75
0%won 0 of 3 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 3
Zech1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubnerZechBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 3 vs 57 / 2120%26.9%0 / 3 vs 57 / 212Avg sets wonper match0.31.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ZechHubner 3.75/Zech 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Zech · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zech won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Hubner10
LAug 4 · 08:00K. Zimmermann1.041111113L. Hubner9.006130LAug 4 · 07:00L. Hubner9.004191451M. Neumaier1.04111716113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Mino1.011111113L. Hubner12.008760LAug 3 · 13:30L. Kraus1.0611117113L. Hubner8.00641151LAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:00J. Willeke1.101111113L. Hubner6.509860LJul 24 · 08:00L. Hubner10.00671361D. Rinderer1.03111111113LJul 23 · 17:00L. Hubner9.0091140J. Loffler1.041113113WJul 23 · 15:30L. Hubner2.4011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
D. Zech10
LSep 18 · 07:30D. Zech2.754640J. Loffler1.371111113LSep 17 · 16:30D. Zech6.00101090L. Qiu1.111212113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Zech7.0011490M. Scharrer1.081311113WSep 17 · 12:30E. Mendes1.1055111192D. Zech6.50111169113LSep 17 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.051111113D. Zech8.505950LSep 17 · 09:00D. Zech2.7511871172K. Zimmermann1.40911118113LSep 17 · 07:30D. Zech1.80814111112J. Harencak1.911112119133WSep 11 · 07:30D. Zech1.20101115113S. Amann4.331231341WSep 10 · 16:30D. Zech2.0011513113K. Moosmann1.737111161WSep 10 · 14:30D. Zech2.2511513113M. Bott1.579111181
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