TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13141673
Played Sep 17Finished
Damian Zech
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811711118711
Karl Zimmermann
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDamian Zech to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDamian Zech above · Karl Zimmermann below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Damian Zech at 63.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Damian Zech 0–2 Karl Zimmermann Damian Zech has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:40What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zimmermann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zech 1402 vs Zimmermann 1654
Zimmermann
Correct
both rated, 252 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zech 80% vs Zimmermann 40%
Zech
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zech 40% vs Zimmermann 60%
Zimmermann
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zech -1 · Zimmermann +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZech 2.75 / Zimmermann 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Zimmermann)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13141673
Zech2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
38%takes the first set · 3 of 8
As underdog20% won 15 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Zimmermann1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite87% won 13 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZech0wins
AwayZimmermann2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderZimmermann leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZechZimmermannZech − ZimmermannBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match41.046.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZechZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 214 vs 28 / 4827.6%58.3%59 / 214 vs 28 / 48Avg sets wonper match1.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZimmermannZech 2.75/Zimmermann 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zimmermann won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 6 · 09:00D. Zech4461111882K. Zimmermann50118911113
LJan 22 · 09:00D. Zech3891141132K. Zimmermann42115114113
D. Zech10
LSep 17 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.051111113D. Zech8.505950LSep 17 · 07:30D. Zech1.80814111112J. Harencak1.911112119133WSep 11 · 07:30D. Zech1.20101115113S. Amann4.331231341WSep 10 · 16:30D. Zech2.0011513113K. Moosmann1.737111161WSep 10 · 14:30D. Zech2.2511513113M. Bott1.579111181WSep 10 · 12:30T. Pellny1.142D. Zech5.003LSep 10 · 10:30D. Cheaib1.0211711113D. Zech10.50711331LSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3LSep 10 · 07:30D. Zech7.003890M. Henninger1.081111113LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113
K. Zimmermann10
WSep 17 · 07:00E. Mendes1.201151171K. Zimmermann4.3381113113LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113
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