Damian Zech vs Samuel Amann 3-1 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #13105032

Played Sep 11Finished

Damian Zech

Home

1.20

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

10121131513114––

Samuel Amann

Away

4.33

At publish

Lost last 10

Form at publish

0–10Last 10Lost last 10

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%

Graded at full time

Damian Zech to win

58.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingDamian Zech above · Samuel Amann below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 15-13

Set 4 · 11-4

Point 79 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Damian Zech at 58.3%

79 points played in total.

H2H Damian Zech 4–2 Samuel Amann Samuel Amann has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 4–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:48

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.20 (78%)

Zech

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-2 in 6

Zech

Correct

gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zech 1411 vs Amann 1105

Zech

Correct

both rated, 306 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zech 60% vs Amann 0%

Zech

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zech 30% vs Amann 0%

Zech

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zech +3 · Amann -5

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Zech) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Amann form (0%) is below what odds imply (23%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZech 1.20 / Amann 4.33

Signal prob.80% / 21%

Edge (Zech)+1.2pp

Challenger Series TT · #13105032

Zech1.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 4 of 8

Amann4.33

0%won 0 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 10

oldest → newest

11%takes the first set · 1 of 9

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeZech4wins

AwayAmann2wins

1 of 6 to a deciderZech leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZech100%3 of 3

AwayAmann66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zech3Amann3n = 6split evenly

S2Zech4Amann2n = 6Zech took 4 of 6

S3Zech4Amann2n = 6Zech took 4 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home350%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home117%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away117%

0–3Straight, away117%

These 6 meetings

MetricZechAmannZ − ABasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match34.530.3+4.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZechAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 212 vs 9 / 6027.4%15%58 / 212 vs 9 / 60Avg sets wonper match1.40.9per matchAvg pointsper match32.528.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zech

Zech 1.20/Amann 4.33

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

79.5%

Zech · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Zech won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

WJul 23 · 09:00D. Zech—1111113S. Amann—8690

WJul 23 · 08:00D. Zech—1111113S. Amann—8690

LSep 12 · 07:30D. Zech—611971S. Amann—11611113

LJul 25 · 07:30D. Zech—9560S. Amann—1111113

WJul 3 · 07:30D. Zech—991113113S. Amann—111141132

WJun 6 · 07:30D. Zech—1111133S. Amann—76110

D. Zech10

WSep 10 · 16:30D. Zech2.0011513113K. Moosmann1.737111161 WSep 10 · 14:30D. Zech2.2511513113M. Bott1.579111181 WSep 10 · 12:30T. Pellny1.142D. Zech5.003 LSep 10 · 10:30D. Cheaib1.0211711113D. Zech10.50711331 LSep 10 · 09:40D. Zech—1M. Stefanidis—3 LSep 10 · 07:30D. Zech7.003890M. Henninger1.081111113 LAug 20 · 16:30D. Zech8.501115681M. Danzer1.0571711113 LAug 20 · 14:30D. Zech—711551N. Kizakisz—11911113 LAug 20 · 12:30S. Almeida1.661111113D. Zech2.106970 LAug 20 · 10:30E. Huzsvar1.5712101111113D. Zech2.2014129382

S. Amann10

LSep 10 · 17:30S. Amann3.505550M. Bott1.281111113 LSep 10 · 16:00T. Pellny1.101111113S. Amann6.508960 LSep 10 · 14:00D. Cheaib1.011111113S. Amann12.007630 LSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113 LSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063 LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113 LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630 LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431 LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860 LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183

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