TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105034
Played Sep 10Finished
Samuel Amann
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511511––––
Markus Bott
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeMarkus Bott to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Amann above · Markus Bott below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 48 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Markus Bott at 62.7%
48 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Bott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Amann 1114 vs Bott 1329
Bott
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Amann 0% vs Bott 20%
Bott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Amann 0% vs Bott 20%
Bott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Amann -5 · Bott -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Bott) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bott form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAmann 3.50 / Bott 1.28
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Bott)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105034
Amann3.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest11%takes the first set · 1 of 9
Bott1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAmannBottBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 59 vs 3 / 1215.3%25%9 / 59 vs 3 / 12Avg sets wonper match0.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match28.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BottAmann 3.50/Bott 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Bott · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bott won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Amann10
LSep 10 · 16:00T. Pellny1.101111113S. Amann6.508960LSep 10 · 14:00D. Cheaib1.011111113S. Amann12.007630LSep 10 · 12:00S. Amann1.78116891M. Stefanidis1.9481111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Amann8.000M. Henninger1.063LSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113
M. Bott10
LSep 10 · 14:30D. Zech2.2511513113M. Bott1.579111181LSep 10 · 13:00M. Henninger1.131111113M. Bott5.509230LSep 10 · 11:00T. Pellny1.331110118143M. Bott3.25512611122WSep 10 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.10116881M. Bott1.6791111113LSep 10 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.0711811113M. Bott7.50811671LOct 3 · 08:00M. Hollo1.201211113M. Bott4.3310980LOct 3 · 07:00M. Bott3.5011121191M. Scharrer1.2813149113WOct 2 · 15:30G. Patil1.83391181M. Bott1.8311117113LOct 2 · 13:30C. Chang1.5011511113M. Bott2.50911991LOct 2 · 12:00M. Abedinian1.3011911113M. Bott3.40911661
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