TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13105043
Played Sep 10Finished
Kai Moosmann
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611811811––
Markus Bott
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–5Last 8Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeMarkus Bott to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKai Moosmann above · Markus Bott below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Markus Bott at 55.4%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Moosmann 1273 vs Bott 1372
Bott
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moosmann 40% vs Bott 20%
Moosmann
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moosmann 20% vs Bott 38%
Bott
Correct
18pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moosmann +2 · Bott -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bott)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bott form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoosmann 2.10 / Bott 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bott)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13105043
Moosmann2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Bott1.67
38%won 3 of 8 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest14%takes the first set · 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoosmannBottBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 44 vs 2 / 822.7%25%10 / 44 vs 2 / 8Avg sets wonper match1.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match29.932.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BottMoosmann 2.10/Bott 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Bott · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bott won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Moosmann10
WSep 10 · 08:00S. Amann2.751341181K. Moosmann1.4015118113WJul 28 · 06:30S. Happek1.201011101192K. Moosmann4.33125122113LJul 27 · 16:30N. Kizakisz—71111113K. Moosmann—115491LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.52591111113K. Moosmann2.2711118582LJul 27 · 15:00K. Zimmermann1.20591111113K. Moosmann4.3311118582LJul 27 · 13:30K. Moosmann8.001311451K. Fadeev1.0615911113LJul 27 · 11:30K. Moosmann7.50631151O. Kosolosky1.0711117113LJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 08:00J. Loffler1.32111211113K. Moosmann3.00514571LDec 19 · 09:30R. Turrini1.021112113K. Moosmann11.0091080
M. Bott10
LSep 10 · 11:00T. Pellny1.331110118143M. Bott3.25512611122LSep 10 · 06:30D. Cheaib1.0711811113M. Bott7.50811671LOct 3 · 08:00M. Hollo1.201211113M. Bott4.3310980LOct 3 · 07:00M. Bott3.5011121191M. Scharrer1.2813149113WOct 2 · 15:30G. Patil1.83391181M. Bott1.8311117113LOct 2 · 13:30C. Chang1.5011511113M. Bott2.50911991LOct 2 · 12:00M. Abedinian1.3011911113M. Bott3.40911661LOct 2 · 09:00K. Zeimys1.3011411113M. Bott3.40811561WOct 2 · 07:00D. Zech1.8311817542M. Bott1.835111511113WJun 11 · 15:30F. Saljani—1M. Bott—3
Upcoming Matches
K. Moosmann1 of 4 neutral
M. Bott
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