TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Viktor Yefimov vs Akito Itagaki 3-2 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Jul 13Finished
Viktor Yefimov
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311115117711119
Akito Itagaki
Away
5.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingViktor Yefimov above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9
86 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Yefimov 2–0 Akito Itagaki Akito Itagaki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Yefimov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYefimov 1.13 / Itagaki 5.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Yefimov)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12216709
Yefimov1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Itagaki5.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeYefimov2wins
AwayItagaki0wins
Yefimov leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricYefimovItagakiY − IBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.529.5+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYefimovItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 52 / 9780%53.6%8 / 10 vs 52 / 97Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YefimovYefimov 1.13/Itagaki 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Yefimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Yefimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 24 · 11:00V. Yefimov331111113A. Itagaki258890
WOct 23 · 12:00V. Yefimov4011126113A. Itagaki346101171
V. Yefimov10
WAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:15V. Yefimov1.101111113M. Henninger6.506780WAug 25 · 07:00E. Huzsvar—8980V. Yefimov—1111113WAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 14:30M. Henninger4.5011780V. Yefimov1.171311113WAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:00A. Moreno7.507760V. Yefimov1.071111113WAug 24 · 10:00J. Willeke4.506650V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 06:30P. Koloidenko7.506770V. Yefimov1.071111113LJul 14 · 11:00I. Bertrand1.16715411113V. Yefimov4.45111311892
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
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