TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11972327
Played Jun 1Finished
Jan Pina
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012113911611––
Jan Vasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Pina above · Jan Vasek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pina 1–1 Jan Vasek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPina 1.83 / Vasek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #11972327
Pina1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Vasek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePina1wins
AwayVasek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPinaVasekP − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match50.545.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPinaVasekBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 160 vs 80 / 16753.1%47.9%85 / 160 vs 80 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PinaPina 1.83/Vasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 14 · 21:22J. Pina—3J. Vasek—1
LJan 14 · 18:15J. Pina—2J. Vasek—3
J. Pina10
WSep 10 · 20:58J. Pina1.61511117113T. Stejskal2.2011751162WSep 10 · 20:00T. Stejskal1.57561141J. Pina2.2511118113LSep 10 · 19:00M. Drabek1.9112911113J. Pina1.801011681LSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 6 · 21:03K. Jirousek1.5711127113J. Pina2.255101131WSep 6 · 19:30J. Pina2.10711511143K. Farsky1.67116117122WSep 6 · 18:30J. Pina1.9111611143A. Dvoracek1.808118121LSep 6 · 17:30J. Pina2.255141151K. Jirousek1.5711168113WAug 27 · 21:08K. Farsky1.5711981142J. Pina2.25511117113LAug 27 · 20:00J. Pina2.2512117282K. Farsky1.571071111113
J. Vasek10
LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740LJun 1 · 21:03J. Vasek1.50113851F. Husek2.5071111113WJun 1 · 20:00F. Husek2.10117871J. Vasek1.6781111113
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