TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12058352
Played Jun 18Finished
Frantisek Schmidtmayer
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191175117111214
Jan Vasek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFrantisek Schmidtmayer above · Jan Vasek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 98 set 5, 12-14
98 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Schmidtmayer 2–1 Jan Vasek Jan Vasek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Schmidtmayer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schmidtmayer form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchmidtmayer 1.36 / Vasek 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Schmidtmayer)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12058352
Schmidtmayer1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Vasek3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchmidtmayer2wins
AwayVasek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSchmidtmayer leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schmidtmayer2Vasek1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
S2Schmidtmayer2Vasek1n = 3Schmidtmayer took 2 of 3
S3Schmidtmayer3Vasek0n = 3Schmidtmayer took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchmidtmayerVasekS − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.030.7+9.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchmidtmayerVasekBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 568 vs 84 / 17545.8%48%260 / 568 vs 84 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchmidtmayerSchmidtmayer 1.36/Vasek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.8%
Schmidtmayer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 1 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer341112113J. Vasek2281040
WMay 14 · 20:28F. Schmidtmayer331111113J. Vasek174580
LMay 14 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer53109111672J. Vasek531211514113
F. Schmidtmayer10
WSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741WSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 11:00F. Schmidtmayer2.0094110A. Dvoracek1.731111133LSep 11 · 10:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61811101132J. Hanacek2.20119126113WSep 10 · 20:28M. Drabek1.73771171F. Schmidtmayer2.0011115113LSep 10 · 19:30F. Schmidtmayer1.83211641M. Drabek1.8311711113WSep 10 · 18:30F. Schmidtmayer1.67101111113T. Stejskal2.10129581WSep 10 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer2.0091111113J. Pina1.73116881LSep 1 · 16:39P. Kotrbacek1.7311101011123F. Schmidtmayer2.00912126102LSep 1 · 15:30F. Schmidtmayer2.759970T. Bertho1.401111113
J. Vasek10
LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740LJun 1 · 21:03J. Vasek1.50113851F. Husek2.5071111113WJun 1 · 20:00F. Husek2.10117871J. Vasek1.6781111113WJun 1 · 19:00J. Pina1.831011961J. Vasek1.8312311113
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