TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12065454
Played Jun 18Finished
Jan Vasek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311611119711––
Petr Maly
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJan Vasek above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vasek 6–5 Petr Maly Petr Maly has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasek 2.63 / Maly 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Maly)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12065454
Vasek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Maly1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 60 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it69% 45 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasek5wins
AwayMaly5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMaly55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasek1Maly9n = 10Maly took 9 of 10
S2Vasek4Maly6n = 10Maly took 6 of 10
S3Vasek5Maly5n = 10split evenly
S4Vasek4Maly2n = 6Vasek took 4 of 6
S5Vasek3Maly0n = 3Vasek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasekMalyV − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.2−2.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasekMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 176 vs 289 / 53448.3%54.1%85 / 176 vs 289 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyVasek 2.63/Maly 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 8 · 18:45J. Vasek462111111113P. Maly4411136772
LApr 20 · 20:28J. Vasek27610110P. Maly361112133
LApr 20 · 18:30J. Vasek205690P. Maly331111113
LApr 15 · 20:32J. Vasek172870P. Maly331111113
WApr 15 · 19:30J. Vasek331111113P. Maly198470
LMar 16 · 20:15J. Vasek4111121081P. Maly46131012113
WJan 12 · 21:30J. Vasek46111211123P. Maly4113108101
WJan 12 · 18:30J. Vasek51713713113P. Maly501111111162
LJun 30 · 17:45J. Vasek32851181P. Maly3911116113
WJun 16 · 17:30J. Vasek504121111123P. Maly51111488102
J. Vasek10
LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113WJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740LJun 1 · 21:03J. Vasek1.50113851F. Husek2.5071111113WJun 1 · 20:00F. Husek2.10117871J. Vasek1.6781111113WJun 1 · 19:00J. Pina1.831011961J. Vasek1.8312311113
P. Maly10
LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181LJun 8 · 18:45P. Maly1.2811136772J. Vasek3.502111111113
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