TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12005033
Played Jun 8Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121311611711711
Jan Vasek
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Jan Vasek below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 5–5 Jan Vasek Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.28 / Vasek 3.50
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Maly)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12005033
Maly1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 55 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it70% 42 of 60
Vasek3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 7 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayVasek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly62.5%5 of 8
AwayVasekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly8Vasek2n = 10Maly took 8 of 10
S2Maly6Vasek4n = 10Maly took 6 of 10
S3Maly5Vasek5n = 10split evenly
S4Maly2Vasek4n = 6Vasek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMalyVasekM − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.0+2.1per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyVasekBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 518 vs 82 / 17154.3%48%281 / 518 vs 82 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.28/Vasek 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.1%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 20 · 20:28P. Maly361112133J. Vasek27610110
WApr 20 · 18:30P. Maly331111113J. Vasek205690
WApr 15 · 20:32P. Maly331111113J. Vasek172870
LApr 15 · 19:30P. Maly198470J. Vasek331111113
WMar 16 · 20:15P. Maly46131012113J. Vasek4111121081
LJan 12 · 21:30P. Maly4113108101J. Vasek46111211123
LJan 12 · 18:30P. Maly501111111162J. Vasek51713713113
WJun 30 · 17:45P. Maly3911116113J. Vasek32851181
LJun 16 · 17:30P. Maly51111488102J. Vasek504121111123
LMar 10 · 19:30P. Maly334111081J. Vasek4311912113
P. Maly10
LSep 14 · 20:13P. Maly1.80103100T. Bertho1.911211123WSep 14 · 19:15T. Bertho1.8361111582P. Maly1.83118811113LSep 14 · 18:45P. Maly1.6712101012122J. Tichy2.1010121210143LSep 14 · 17:45P. Maly1.83117111192Z. Kuksa1.83511135113LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192
J. Vasek10
LJun 18 · 20:58J. Vasek2.63361171P. Maly1.4411119113LJun 18 · 20:00P. Maly1.4411119113J. Vasek2.63661181WJun 18 · 19:00L. Tuma2.0071211101J. Vasek1.73111013123WJun 18 · 17:30F. Schmidtmayer1.36111157122J. Vasek3.00971111143LJun 8 · 20:43J. Vasek3.0013128942J. Tichy1.3611101111113WJun 8 · 19:45E. Ondracek2.108350J. Vasek1.671111113LJun 8 · 17:15J. Tichy1.441111113J. Vasek2.638740LJun 1 · 21:03J. Vasek1.50113851F. Husek2.5071111113WJun 1 · 20:00F. Husek2.10117871J. Vasek1.6781111113WJun 1 · 19:00J. Pina1.831011961J. Vasek1.8312311113
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