TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11917742
Played May 20Finished
Jakub Lysek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116117117––
Milan Zika
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJakub Lysek above · Milan Zika below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Lysek 9–6 Milan Zika Milan Zika has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lysek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.67 / Zika 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Lysek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #11917742
Lysek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite45% won 17 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Zika2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 82 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysek5wins
AwayZika5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysek66.7%4 of 6
AwayZika75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysek6Zika4n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S2Lysek2Zika8n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S3Lysek6Zika4n = 10Lysek took 6 of 10
S4Lysek2Zika6n = 8Zika took 6 of 8
S5Lysek4Zika1n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysekZikaL − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.6−3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 180 vs 146 / 30942.8%47.3%77 / 180 vs 146 / 309Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekLysek 1.67/Zika 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 25 · 16:10J. Lysek—3M. Zika—2
WMar 15 · 14:45J. Lysek—3M. Zika—2
LMar 14 · 19:15J. Lysek—1M. Zika—3
WMar 13 · 19:10J. Lysek—3M. Zika—2
LMar 8 · 17:55J. Lysek—2M. Zika—3
LMar 8 · 17:15J. Lysek—1M. Zika—3
WFeb 28 · 14:40J. Lysek—3M. Zika—2
LFeb 21 · 21:10J. Lysek—0M. Zika—3
WJan 11 · 15:15J. Lysek—3M. Zika—0
LDec 31 · 21:45J. Lysek—1M. Zika—3
J. Lysek10
LJul 22 · 08:43J. Lysek1.834360J. Sevecek1.831111113LJul 22 · 08:15J. Lysek1.5311117101L. Snr2.3813811123WJul 22 · 06:45J. Sevecek1.53119881J. Lysek2.3881111113LJul 22 · 06:15P. Sturma2.001110811113J. Lysek1.7331211992LJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 11:45J. Lysek1.736680P. Sturma2.001111113LJul 21 · 10:45J. Lysek1.83111111982R. Zajac1.83991311113WJul 21 · 09:45J. Lysek2.101112113T. Stempak1.6751090LJul 18 · 09:30J. Lysek1.77911981L. Stempak1.8711511113WJul 18 · 07:45L. Stempak1.441612711122J. Lysek2.631414117143
M. Zika10
LMay 23 · 20:45L. Jr1.8314116113M. Zika1.831291171LMay 23 · 20:10M. Zika2.20125591J. Lysek1.61101111113LMay 23 · 18:40R. Jancak1.53101111113M. Zika2.38129871LMay 23 · 18:10L. Jr1.8311711113M. Zika1.83811691LMay 23 · 16:45J. Sindler1.675111011113M. Zika2.0511812152LMay 23 · 16:10J. Sindler1.6111118113M. Zika2.20671171LMay 23 · 15:10M. Zika2.0011790P. Sturma1.731311113LMay 23 · 13:40L. Jr1.83711411113M. Zika1.8311811252LMay 20 · 20:40L. Jr1.801241611113M. Zika1.91141114992LMay 20 · 19:10M. Zika1.837740P. Sturma1.831111113
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