TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11932710
Played May 23Finished
Milan Zika
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210511511911––
Jakub Lysek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Zika above · Jakub Lysek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Milan Zika 6–10 Jakub Lysek Milan Zika has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lysek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 2.20 / Lysek 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Lysek)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #11932710
Zika2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 82 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Lysek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 19 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika4wins
AwayLysek6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLysek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika60%3 of 5
AwayLysek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika5Lysek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zika7Lysek3n = 10Zika took 7 of 10
S3Zika3Lysek7n = 10Lysek took 7 of 10
S4Zika5Lysek3n = 8Zika took 5 of 8
S5Zika1Lysek4n = 5Lysek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaLysekZ − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.238.2+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 318 vs 81 / 18745.9%43.3%146 / 318 vs 81 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysekZika 2.20/Lysek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 20 · 20:10M. Zika—1J. Lysek—3
LApr 25 · 16:10M. Zika—2J. Lysek—3
LMar 15 · 14:45M. Zika—2J. Lysek—3
WMar 14 · 19:15M. Zika—3J. Lysek—1
LMar 13 · 19:10M. Zika—2J. Lysek—3
WMar 8 · 17:55M. Zika—3J. Lysek—2
WMar 8 · 17:15M. Zika—3J. Lysek—1
LFeb 28 · 14:40M. Zika—2J. Lysek—3
WFeb 21 · 21:10M. Zika—3J. Lysek—0
LJan 11 · 15:15M. Zika—0J. Lysek—3
M. Zika10
LMay 23 · 20:45L. Jr1.8314116113M. Zika1.831291171LMay 23 · 18:40R. Jancak1.53101111113M. Zika2.38129871LMay 23 · 18:10L. Jr1.8311711113M. Zika1.83811691LMay 23 · 16:45J. Sindler1.675111011113M. Zika2.0511812152LMay 23 · 16:10J. Sindler1.6111118113M. Zika2.20671171LMay 23 · 15:10M. Zika2.0011790P. Sturma1.731311113LMay 23 · 13:40L. Jr1.83711411113M. Zika1.8311811252LMay 20 · 20:40L. Jr1.801241611113M. Zika1.91141114992LMay 20 · 20:10J. Lysek1.6761111113M. Zika2.10116771LMay 20 · 19:10M. Zika1.837740P. Sturma1.831111113
J. Lysek10
LJul 22 · 08:43J. Lysek1.834360J. Sevecek1.831111113LJul 22 · 08:15J. Lysek1.5311117101L. Snr2.3813811123WJul 22 · 06:45J. Sevecek1.53119881J. Lysek2.3881111113LJul 22 · 06:15P. Sturma2.001110811113J. Lysek1.7331211992LJul 21 · 12:45J. Lysek1.6181281122T. Stempak2.201110119113LJul 21 · 11:45J. Lysek1.736680P. Sturma2.001111113LJul 21 · 10:45J. Lysek1.83111111982R. Zajac1.83991311113WJul 21 · 09:45J. Lysek2.101112113T. Stempak1.6751090LJul 18 · 09:30J. Lysek1.77911981L. Stempak1.8711511113WMay 20 · 20:10J. Lysek1.6761111113M. Zika2.10116771
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