TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11920908
Played May 20Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12144111614119119
Milan Zika
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Milan Zika below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 16-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 111 set 5, 11-9
111 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 13–18 Milan Zika Lukas Krupnik Jr has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zika form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.80 / Zika 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #11920908
Jr1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 55 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it63% 37 of 59
Zika1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog51% won 82 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayZika5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZika62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Zika8n = 10Zika took 8 of 10
S2Jr6Zika4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr4Zika6n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Zika4n = 8split evenly
S5Jr4Zika2n = 6Jr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrZikaJ − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match42.043.0−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZikaBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 202 vs 146 / 31053.5%47.1%108 / 202 vs 146 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.80/Zika 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 20 · 17:40L. Jr—3M. Zika—2
LMay 18 · 20:45L. Jr—1M. Zika—3
LMay 18 · 17:40L. Jr—2M. Zika—3
WMay 7 · 16:45L. Jr—3M. Zika—1
LMay 7 · 13:40L. Jr—2M. Zika—3
WMay 3 · 18:10L. Jr—3M. Zika—2
LApr 30 · 13:20L. Jr—0M. Zika—3
LApr 30 · 10:40L. Jr—0M. Zika—3
WApr 27 · 19:10L. Jr—3M. Zika—2
WApr 19 · 20:10L. Jr—3M. Zika—2
L. Jr10
LSep 7 · 11:45O. Vaclahovsky2.101111113L. Jr1.676990WSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113WSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113
M. Zika10
LMay 23 · 20:45L. Jr1.8314116113M. Zika1.831291171LMay 23 · 20:10M. Zika2.20125591J. Lysek1.61101111113LMay 23 · 18:40R. Jancak1.53101111113M. Zika2.38129871LMay 23 · 18:10L. Jr1.8311711113M. Zika1.83811691LMay 23 · 16:45J. Sindler1.675111011113M. Zika2.0511812152LMay 23 · 16:10J. Sindler1.6111118113M. Zika2.20671171LMay 23 · 15:10M. Zika2.0011790P. Sturma1.731311113LMay 23 · 13:40L. Jr1.83711411113M. Zika1.8311811252LMay 20 · 20:10J. Lysek1.6761111113M. Zika2.10116771LMay 20 · 19:10M. Zika1.837740P. Sturma1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Jr
M. Zika
Nothing scheduled
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