TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11917762
Played May 20Finished
Milan Zika
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711411––––
Patrik Sturma
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMilan Zika above · Patrik Sturma below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Milan Zika 21–22 Patrik Sturma Milan Zika has won 21 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sturma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZika 1.83 / Sturma 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sturma)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #11917762
Zika1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sturma1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZika5wins
AwaySturma5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZika60%3 of 5
AwaySturma60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zika5Sturma5n = 10split evenly
S2Zika6Sturma4n = 10Zika took 6 of 10
S3Zika4Sturma6n = 10Sturma took 6 of 10
S4Zika4Sturma3n = 7Zika took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZikaSturmaZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.236.3−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZikaSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 308 vs 259 / 52747.4%49.2%146 / 308 vs 259 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SturmaZika 1.83/Sturma 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sturma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sturma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 18 · 19:10M. Zika—0P. Sturma—3
LApr 27 · 20:10M. Zika—2P. Sturma—3
LApr 25 · 12:10M. Zika—0P. Sturma—3
LApr 15 · 18:10M. Zika—1P. Sturma—3
WApr 15 · 15:10M. Zika—3P. Sturma—1
WApr 13 · 18:10M. Zika—3P. Sturma—1
LApr 12 · 16:45M. Zika—1P. Sturma—3
WApr 12 · 16:15M. Zika—3P. Sturma—0
WMar 30 · 13:40M. Zika—3P. Sturma—1
WMar 24 · 19:15M. Zika—3P. Sturma—1
M. Zika10
LMay 23 · 20:45L. Jr1.8314116113M. Zika1.831291171LMay 23 · 20:10M. Zika2.20125591J. Lysek1.61101111113LMay 23 · 18:40R. Jancak1.53101111113M. Zika2.38129871LMay 23 · 18:10L. Jr1.8311711113M. Zika1.83811691LMay 23 · 16:45J. Sindler1.675111011113M. Zika2.0511812152LMay 23 · 16:10J. Sindler1.6111118113M. Zika2.20671171LMay 23 · 15:10M. Zika2.0011790P. Sturma1.731311113LMay 23 · 13:40L. Jr1.83711411113M. Zika1.8311811252LMay 20 · 20:40L. Jr1.801241611113M. Zika1.91141114992LMay 20 · 20:10J. Lysek1.6761111113M. Zika2.10116771
P. Sturma10
LSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 11:40P. Sturma2.10511811113F. Mandrysz1.6711511692WSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113WSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113WSep 1 · 14:15L. Jr1.53731161P. Sturma2.3811115113LAug 30 · 17:10J. Sindler1.531111113P. Sturma2.389930WMay 23 · 15:10M. Zika2.0011790P. Sturma1.731311113
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