TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Anton Limonov vs Akito Itagaki 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 5Finished
Anton Limonov
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1169111161315811
Akito Itagaki
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingAnton Limonov above · Akito Itagaki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11
101 points played in total.
H2H Anton Limonov 2–0 Akito Itagaki Akito Itagaki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Limonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Itagaki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLimonov 1.25 / Itagaki 3.75
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Limonov)-6.5pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11845996
Limonov1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Itagaki3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLimonov2wins
AwayItagaki0wins
Limonov leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLimonovItagakiL − IBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match48.044.5+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLimonovItagakiBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 105 vs 71 / 16645.7%42.8%48 / 105 vs 71 / 166Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LimonovLimonov 1.25/Itagaki 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Limonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Itagaki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—A. Limonov—3A. Itagaki—2
W—A. Limonov—3A. Itagaki—1
A. Limonov10
WSep 1 · 11:20A. Limonov1.83119119113M. Henninger1.8391111182WSep 1 · 09:47A. Limonov1.40111111143K. Fadeev2.751355121WSep 1 · 08:00A. Limonov1.57111195113K. Fadeev2.2584111172WAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151WAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860WAug 31 · 14:00A. Limonov1.171111113M. Gremillion4.507980WAug 31 · 10:30A. Limonov1.2212116113M. Henninger4.001081161WAug 31 · 08:30A. Limonov1.3211116113S. Almeida3.00681191WAug 31 · 06:30A. Limonov1.501111113M. Stefanidis2.407850WAug 19 · 14:35T. Preechayan1.83714581A. Limonov1.83111211113
A. Itagaki10
WJul 17 · 10:29A. Itagaki3.00131111113J. Loffler1.361113831LJul 17 · 09:38I. Bertrand1.011111113A. Itagaki12.004340LJul 17 · 08:00M. Danzer1.25811611113A. Itagaki3.7511911552WJul 17 · 07:00A. Itagaki1.16116711113M. Stefanidis4.4541111852WJul 16 · 15:30A. Moreno4.339540A. Itagaki1.201111113LJul 16 · 13:30J. Loffler1.501011117113A. Itagaki2.5012851192LJul 16 · 12:00I. Bertrand1.041111123A. Itagaki9.0062100WJul 16 · 09:00D. Zech4.33981381A. Itagaki1.20111111113WJul 16 · 07:00S. Happek2.7551131182A. Itagaki1.40118116113LJul 14 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.0596130O. Kosolosky1.331111153
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