TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Mike Hollo vs Matthias Danzer 2-3 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played May 7Finished
Mike Hollo
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121145111113411
Matthias Danzer
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMike Hollo above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Mike Hollo 2–5 Matthias Danzer Mike Hollo has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Danzer)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHollo 3.25 / Danzer 1.33
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Danzer)-7.2pp (anti-value)
Challenger Series TT · #11845544
Hollo3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Danzer1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHollo2wins
AwayDanzer5wins
Danzer leads 5–2.
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hollo3Danzer4n = 7Danzer took 4 of 7
S2Hollo3Danzer4n = 7Danzer took 4 of 7
S3Hollo2Danzer5n = 7Danzer took 5 of 7
S4Hollo1Danzer5n = 6Danzer took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHolloDanzerH − DBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.639.1−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolloDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 224 vs 191 / 27060.3%70.7%135 / 224 vs 191 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanzerHollo 3.25/Danzer 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Danzer · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danzer won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
L—M. Hollo—0M. Danzer—3
L—M. Hollo—1M. Danzer—3
L—M. Hollo—3M. Danzer—1
L—M. Hollo—1M. Danzer—3
L—M. Hollo—1M. Danzer—3
W—M. Hollo—2M. Danzer—3
W—M. Hollo—3M. Danzer—1
M. Hollo10
WMay 19 · 10:30A. Itagaki3.40119571M. Hollo1.3081111113LMay 19 · 09:45I. Bertrand1.1781111113M. Hollo4.50116661WMay 19 · 08:30J. Lama7.0010790M. Hollo1.081211113WMay 18 · 17:00A. Itagaki3.4011114882M. Hollo1.30221111113LMay 18 · 15:30M. Hollo1.28117100L. Kraus3.501311123WMay 18 · 13:00M. Hollo1.071111113A. Cseri7.507670WMay 18 · 11:30K. Fadeev1.57961121M. Hollo2.2511116113WMay 18 · 09:30J. Loffler2.5011611131M. Hollo1.5081113153LMay 18 · 07:30I. Bertrand1.1712117113M. Hollo4.501081191LMay 8 · 08:30D. Reitspies1.251111113M. Hollo3.753470
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860WAug 21 · 11:00M. Danzer1.251111163N. Kizakisz3.4066140
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