TT Lossbeater/World Cup
Thibault Poret vs Alexis Lebrun 1-4 · World Cup
World Cup
Played Apr 2Finished
Thibault Poret
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 4
Set by set
11314161113411711
Alexis Lebrun
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingThibault Poret above · Alexis Lebrun below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 101 set 5, 7-11
101 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lebrun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebrun form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoret 3.75 / Lebrun 1.25
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lebrun)-11.1pp (anti-value)
World Cup · #11686723
Poret3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Lebrun1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoretLebrunBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 45 vs 49 / 7355.6%67.1%25 / 45 vs 49 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebrunPoret 3.75/Lebrun 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Lebrun · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–4
Lebrun won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Poret10
LSep 18 · 14:00R. Yoshiyama2.2512511113T. Poret1.571011481LSep 12 · 09:45T. Poret2.2561111111K. Karlsson1.5711137133WSep 11 · 14:00T. Poret1.3681111113R. Walther3.00114441WSep 10 · 21:30T. Poret1.3581211113T. Apolonia2.801110471WSep 10 · 03:00T. Poret1.3681211113T. Apolonia3.001110471LAug 14 · 18:05F. Lebrun1.171111113T. Poret4.502440WAug 13 · 11:45J. Geraldo2.00148951T. Poret1.73121111113WAug 11 · 11:10T. Poret3.25821111113P. Franziska1.3311118592LJul 25 · 14:35P. Franziska1.3381211113T. Poret3.251110791WJul 24 · 16:20W. Verdonschot2.3811651172T. Poret1.53411118113
A. Lebrun10
LSep 20 · 12:45A. Lebrun1.3611511662D. Qiu3.00611511114WSep 20 · 07:20A. Lebrun1.5361111113Q. Zhou2.38117581WSep 19 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.101111123R. Yoshiyama6.5053100WSep 19 · 05:35A. Lebrun1.1071111113K. Stumper6.50113291WSep 18 · 14:00A. Lebrun1.021111123A. Levenko10.5057100LSep 12 · 10:30A. Kallberg3.4011358114A. Lebrun1.30611111153WSep 11 · 11:05B. Duda2.6361191192A. Lebrun1.44119118113WSep 9 · 07:05M. Thakkar5.001241131A. Lebrun1.1414119113LAug 15 · 12:15A. Lebrun3.509711130T. Harimoto1.28111113154WAug 14 · 12:50S. Lin1.4011711782A. Lebrun2.75611911113
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