TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Kubat vs Pavel Potmesil 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Pavel Potmesil
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:45 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVladimir Kubat to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Pavel Potmesil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Vladimir Kubat at 66.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 5–2 Pavel Potmesil Pavel Potmesil has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:4566.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.2pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kubat
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kubat
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1033 vs Potmesil 1029
Kubat
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 60% vs Potmesil 40%
Kubat
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 70% vs Potmesil 20%
Kubat
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat -1 · Potmesil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Kubat) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.444 / Potmesil 2.625
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kubat)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248691
Kubat1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 19 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Potmesil2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKubat5wins
AwayPotmesil2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKubat leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat100%5 of 5
AwayPotmesiln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat5Potmesil2n = 7Kubat took 5 of 7
S2Kubat5Potmesil2n = 7Kubat took 5 of 7
S3Kubat4Potmesil3n = 7Kubat took 4 of 7
S4Kubat2Potmesil2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKubatPotmesilK − PBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.031.0+7.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatPotmesilBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 255 vs 28 / 6240.8%45.2%104 / 255 vs 28 / 62Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKubat 1.44/Potmesil 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Potmesil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 6 · 11:00V. Kubat268990P. Potmesil331111113
WAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat3811115113P. Potmesil34781181
WAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat4011711113P. Potmesil28611741
LJul 8 · 07:00V. Kubat4781111892P. Potmesil50119811113
WJun 4 · 08:59V. Kubat331111113P. Potmesil155640
WJun 4 · 07:00V. Kubat49111197113P. Potmesil4055111182
WMar 23 · 08:00V. Kubat331111113P. Potmesil173680
V. Kubat10
LOct 6 · 10:00C. Havrda1.50111011123V. Kubat2.508123101WSep 25 · 09:30P. Petr1.53119691V. Kubat2.3831111113LSep 25 · 08:30P. Petr1.8091111113V. Kubat1.91117751WSep 25 · 07:30V. Kubat1.4091111113J. Koch2.75118671WSep 25 · 06:30J. Pantak1.2561161192V. Kubat3.75119117113WSep 17 · 12:59V. Kubat1.50131111113J. Stary2.50159471LSep 17 · 12:00J. Koch3.2511118113V. Kubat1.33871181WSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 17 · 10:30V. Kubat1.6111411113J. Stary2.20611591WSep 16 · 09:30V. Kubat2.0081111113P. Petr1.72113951
P. Potmesil10
WOct 6 · 12:00C. Havrda1.611111613102P. Potmesil2.20871115123LOct 6 · 10:30P. Potmesil2.1021271262J. Strnad1.6711101110113LAug 22 · 09:30A. Tkachenko1.6011118113P. Potmesil2.20461151WAug 22 · 08:30P. Potmesil1.671111113J. Koch2.101690WAug 22 · 07:00P. Potmesil1.67771111113P. Serak2.1011117972LAug 22 · 06:00A. Tkachenko1.831111113P. Potmesil1.834790LAug 10 · 08:58V. Kubat1.5011115113P. Potmesil2.50781181LAug 10 · 08:00J. Strnad2.0011911113P. Potmesil1.73611191LAug 10 · 07:00V. Kubat1.6711711113P. Potmesil2.10611741LAug 10 · 06:30P. Potmesil2.2058110A. Hejduk1.611111133
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