TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139687
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911116911––
Vladimir Kubat
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Kubat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Vladimir Kubat below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vladimir Kubat at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 54–42 Vladimir Kubat Vladimir Kubat has won 42 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-42 in 96
Strnad
Wrong
gap of 12 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1033 vs Kubat 1034
Kubat
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 40% vs Kubat 80%
Kubat
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 40% vs Kubat 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +1 · Kubat +3
Kubat
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubat form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.57 / Kubat 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139687
Strnad1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 18 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Kubat2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 20 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad8wins
AwayKubat2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad100%5 of 5
AwayKubat40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad5Kubat5n = 10split evenly
S2Strnad10Kubat0n = 10Strnad took 10 of 10
S3Strnad5Kubat5n = 10split evenly
S4Strnad4Kubat4n = 8split evenly
S5Strnad3Kubat1n = 4Strnad took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKubatS − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.135.5+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKubatBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 360 vs 117 / 29140.8%40.2%147 / 360 vs 117 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.535.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.57/Kubat 2.25
Miss
What we said
59.7%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:30J. Strnad48611911113V. Kubat4111811292
WAug 24 · 10:00J. Strnad47101115113V. Kubat361271341
WAug 18 · 08:00J. Strnad4311117143V. Kubat336411121
WAug 12 · 08:58J. Strnad481211104113V. Kubat48107121182
WAug 12 · 06:00J. Strnad3741111113V. Kubat26115551
WAug 10 · 06:00J. Strnad46111158113V. Kubat3352111142
LJul 21 · 09:00J. Strnad25211841V. Kubat3911611113
LJul 21 · 07:00J. Strnad3641111912V. Kubat46116711113
WJun 15 · 06:00J. Strnad341112113V. Kubat2351080
WMay 17 · 09:07J. Strnad371115113V. Kubat3091380
J. Strnad10
WSep 17 · 10:00J. Koch3.50115871J. Strnad1.2871111113LSep 16 · 13:12J. Strnad2.501111881C. Havrda1.5013611113LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad3.0011159121J. Cernik1.3661711143WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad2.38521111113C. Havrda1.5311114672LSep 16 · 10:00L. Novotny1.57711116113J. Strnad2.2511141132LSep 11 · 17:00J. Hyrsl1.5011115113J. Strnad2.45871181WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad2.3811912113R. Buric1.537111071LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad2.504690J. Hyrsl1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101WSep 10 · 12:59J. Strnad2.201151015113L. Novotny1.61911121352
V. Kubat10
LSep 17 · 12:00J. Koch3.2511118113V. Kubat1.33871181WSep 17 · 10:30V. Kubat1.6111411113J. Stary2.20611591WSep 16 · 09:30V. Kubat2.0081111113P. Petr1.72113951WSep 16 · 08:30V. Kubat1.361311113J. Koch3.0011520LSep 16 · 07:00V. Kubat1.615914131J. Stary2.20111112153WSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr1.53691191V. Kubat2.3811117113LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100
Upcoming Matches
J. Strnad
V. Kubat
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.