TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139401
Played Sep 17Finished
Vladimir Kubat
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116411115119––
Jiri Stary
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Stary to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladimir Kubat above · Jiri Stary below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 68 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Stary at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Kubat 5–3 Jiri Stary Jiri Stary has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kubat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kubat
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1024 vs Stary 954
Kubat
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 60% vs Stary 40%
Kubat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 30% vs Stary 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat +2 · Stary -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kubat) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.61 / Stary 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kubat)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139401
Kubat1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 19 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Stary2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKubat5wins
AwayStary3wins
1 of 8 to a deciderKubat leads 5–3, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubat100%3 of 3
AwayStary60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubat3Stary5n = 8Stary took 5 of 8
S2Kubat5Stary3n = 8Kubat took 5 of 8
S3Kubat5Stary3n = 8Kubat took 5 of 8
S4Kubat3Stary3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKubatStaryK − SBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.032.2+6.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatStaryBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 290 vs 50 / 13240%37.9%116 / 290 vs 50 / 132Avg sets wonper match1.71.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKubat 1.61/Stary 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kubat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 16 · 07:00V. Kubat415914131J. Stary49111112153
LJun 4 · 08:30V. Kubat389118101J. Stary4211811123
WMar 23 · 10:30V. Kubat331111113J. Stary183960
LMar 23 · 09:30V. Kubat2691340J. Stary371115113
WMar 11 · 10:06V. Kubat4181111113J. Stary27116551
WMar 11 · 07:30V. Kubat51119119113J. Stary3541171122
WFeb 18 · 09:30V. Kubat4071111113J. Stary23115431
WFeb 16 · 08:30V. Kubat4211119113J. Stary27461161
V. Kubat10
LSep 17 · 12:00J. Koch3.2511118113V. Kubat1.33871181WSep 17 · 11:00J. Strnad1.57791191V. Kubat2.2511116113WSep 16 · 09:30V. Kubat2.0081111113P. Petr1.72113951WSep 16 · 08:30V. Kubat1.361311113J. Koch3.0011520LSep 16 · 07:00V. Kubat1.615914131J. Stary2.20111112153WSep 16 · 06:00P. Petr1.53691191V. Kubat2.3811117113LAug 28 · 08:59J. Cernik1.611311113V. Kubat2.2011940LAug 28 · 08:30V. Kubat3.256690L. Novotny1.331111113LAug 28 · 07:00V. Kubat2.388560J. Cernik1.531111113LAug 28 · 06:00A. Tkachenko2.001111123V. Kubat1.7397100
J. Stary10
LSep 17 · 11:30J. Stary2.756117101J. Koch1.4011911123LSep 16 · 09:00J. Stary2.257480J. Koch1.571111113LSep 16 · 08:00P. Petr1.3391111113J. Stary3.25118671WSep 16 · 07:00V. Kubat1.615914131J. Stary2.20111112153LSep 16 · 06:30J. Stary2.25111110972J. Koch1.57561211113WSep 9 · 12:59P. Petr1.2261181182J. Stary4.00118115113LSep 9 · 12:30P. Serak1.5711114153J. Stary2.258511131LSep 9 · 11:30J. Stary1.67118391C. Havrda2.1091111113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Petr1.3351111113J. Stary3.25114381LAug 11 · 13:00P. Serak2.00131113153J. Stary1.7315711131
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