TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Horokh vs Dmytro Yurkov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911114119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:52 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Roman Horokh at 61.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 220–146 Dmytro Yurkov Dmytro Yurkov has won 146 of their 366 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:5261.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
220-146 in 366
Horokh
Correct
gap of 74 in 366, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1952 vs Yurkov 1811
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 60% vs Yurkov 0%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 80% vs Yurkov 20%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh -1 · Yurkov -7
Yurkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Horokh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.533 / Yurkov 2.375
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Horokh)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234773
Horokh1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 295 of 437
Up 2–0, closes it97% 156 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it84% 226 of 270
Yurkov2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 12 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 49 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back12% 12 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh8wins
AwayYurkov2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh100%7 of 7
AwayYurkov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Yurkov3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh8Yurkov2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S3Horokh8Yurkov2n = 10Horokh took 8 of 10
S4Horokh2Yurkov3n = 5Yurkov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhYurkovH − YBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.029.6+6.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime692 / 1227 vs 390 / 92256.4%42.3%692 / 1227 vs 390 / 922Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.53/Yurkov 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov248970
WAug 31 · 16:00R. Horokh351113113D. Yurkov2361160
WAug 18 · 13:00R. Horokh4291111113D. Yurkov32117951
WAug 11 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov247980
WAug 5 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov208390
LJul 27 · 14:30R. Horokh34811961D. Yurkov4211911113
WJul 25 · 14:30R. Horokh331111113D. Yurkov194960
WJul 23 · 15:00R. Horokh4111712113D. Yurkov368111071
LJul 21 · 13:00R. Horokh401371191D. Yurkov4615119113
R. Horokh10
WOct 3 · 07:00R. Horokh1.401113123V. Komar2.75711100LOct 3 · 06:00R. Horokh1.5361111542D. Kryshtal2.38119611113LSep 30 · 10:38R. Horokh1.40611119122V. Komar2.75114411143WSep 30 · 09:00S. Kiilo5.003650R. Horokh1.141111113WSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133LSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 30 · 05:00D. Kryshtal2.501161651R. Horokh1.50131114113WSep 29 · 17:03R. Horokh1.50115117113D. Kryshtal2.5071191142WSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.50611661R. Horokh1.5011511113
D. Yurkov10
WOct 3 · 07:30D. Kryshtal1.61911101292D. Yurkov2.201161210113WOct 3 · 06:30V. Komar1.8011911592D. Yurkov1.91811811113LSep 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20119119113D. Yurkov1.6191131172LSep 21 · 14:30D. Yurkov8.501197111S. Ponomarenko1.0571111133LSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh1.611111113D. Yurkov2.208970LSep 21 · 12:30D. Yurkov2.381112121542S. Balabei1.537141413113LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113
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