TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911113911117
Dmytro Yurkov
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDmytro Yurkov to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Dmytro Yurkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Dmytro Yurkov at 59.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 21–66 Dmytro Yurkov Serhii Kushnirenko has won 21 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Yurkov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-66 in 87
Yurkov
Wrong
gap of 45 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1874 vs Yurkov 1820
Kushnirenko
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Yurkov 0%
Kushnirenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 50% vs Yurkov 30%
Kushnirenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko +1 · Yurkov -6
Yurkov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Yurkov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yurkov form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.20 / Yurkov 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Yurkov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166343
Kushnirenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 134 of 401
Down 0–1, comes back18% 44 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 134
Yurkov1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 61 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it84% 48 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko3wins
AwayYurkov7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderYurkov leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko40%2 of 5
AwayYurkov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S2Kushnirenko3Yurkov7n = 10Yurkov took 7 of 10
S3Kushnirenko5Yurkov5n = 10split evenly
S4Kushnirenko7Yurkov3n = 10Kushnirenko took 7 of 10
S5Kushnirenko1Yurkov5n = 6Yurkov took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoYurkovK − YBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.345.1+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoYurkovBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 791 vs 390 / 92141.2%42.4%326 / 791 vs 390 / 921Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.734.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurkovKushnirenko 2.20/Yurkov 1.61
Miss
What we said
59.3%
Yurkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko48101171192D. Yurkov52129119113
LAug 18 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko361110961D. Yurkov4391211113
LAug 5 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko3928111172D. Yurkov49111179113
WJul 27 · 16:58S. Kushnirenko4411713133D. Yurkov3961111111
LJul 27 · 13:30S. Kushnirenko51111191192D. Yurkov49813116113
LJul 25 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko398111191D. Yurkov4211713113
LJul 21 · 17:09S. Kushnirenko50910111192D. Yurkov45111256113
WJul 21 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko4011612113D. Yurkov344111091
LJul 20 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko51116911142D. Yurkov48311117163
WJul 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko551111119133D. Yurkov50136911112
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 21 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko3.25101111113S. Balabei1.33124491LSep 21 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko11.001211331S. Ponomarenko1.0214711113WSep 19 · 10:34D. Kryshtal1.61911161S. Kushnirenko2.2011811113LSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko11.009960S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113WSep 19 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko2.0011119123V. Komar1.738811101LSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.57111011113S. Kushnirenko2.25912451WSep 18 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko3.2511118113S. Balabei1.33881121WSep 18 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101112113D. Kryshtal1.611291091
D. Yurkov10
LSep 21 · 14:30D. Yurkov8.501197111S. Ponomarenko1.0571111133LSep 21 · 13:30R. Horokh1.611111113D. Yurkov2.208970LSep 21 · 12:30D. Yurkov2.381112121542S. Balabei1.537141413113LAug 31 · 16:00D. Yurkov2.2061160R. Horokh1.611113113LAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.108460WAug 31 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101171192D. Yurkov1.61129119113LAug 18 · 17:28D. Kryshtal1.671111113D. Yurkov2.106860WAug 18 · 16:30D. Yurkov2.3851113113S. Balabei1.531161191WAug 18 · 15:30D. Yurkov1.5791211113S. Kushnirenko2.251110961
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