TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13158890
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Kryshtal
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118111611––
Serhii Kushnirenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDmytro Kryshtal above · Serhii Kushnirenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kryshtal 63–42 Serhii Kushnirenko Serhii Kushnirenko has won 42 of their 105 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kryshtal beat Kushnirenko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kryshtal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kushnirenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryshtal 1.61 / Kushnirenko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Kryshtal)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13158890
Kryshtal1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 148 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it94% 78 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it75% 115 of 153
Kushnirenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 132 of 396
Down 0–1, comes back18% 44 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryshtal8wins
AwayKushnirenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKryshtal leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryshtal85.7%6 of 7
AwayKushnirenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryshtal7Kushnirenko3n = 10Kryshtal took 7 of 10
S2Kryshtal4Kushnirenko6n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S3Kryshtal6Kushnirenko4n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Kryshtal5Kushnirenko3n = 8Kryshtal took 5 of 8
S5Kryshtal4Kushnirenko0n = 4Kryshtal took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoKryshtal − KushnirenkoBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.437.4+7.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryshtalKushnirenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime333 / 769 vs 324 / 78843.3%41.1%333 / 769 vs 324 / 788Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.335.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryshtalKryshtal 1.61/Kushnirenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Kryshtal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 09:30D. Kryshtal46611711113S. Kushnirenko3611411462
WSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal43111011113S. Kushnirenko30912451
LSep 18 · 15:30D. Kryshtal401291091S. Kushnirenko44101112113
WSep 16 · 15:30D. Kryshtal531081113113S. Kushnirenko50121181182
WSep 15 · 15:30D. Kryshtal44111011123S. Kushnirenko377128101
WSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal331111113S. Kushnirenko218670
WSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal531112118113S. Kushnirenko4151431182
LSep 11 · 15:30D. Kryshtal45111113101S. Kushnirenko4813815123
WSep 9 · 15:30D. Kryshtal331111113S. Kushnirenko249690
WSep 8 · 15:30D. Kryshtal54149911113S. Kushnirenko43121111362
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8013114992I. Shyndel1.911171111113LSep 19 · 06:30D. Kryshtal8.506870S. Ponomarenko1.051111113WSep 19 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.571111113V. Komar2.255760WSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.57111011113S. Kushnirenko2.25912451LSep 18 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101112113D. Kryshtal1.611291091LSep 18 · 14:30D. Kryshtal8.5012411372S. Ponomarenko1.051011911113WSep 18 · 13:30S. Balabei1.50117771D. Kryshtal2.5021111113LSep 18 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.531171081V. Komar2.3861112113WSep 16 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.9111513113R. Horokh1.805111161
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 19 · 09:30S. Kushnirenko2.2011411462D. Kryshtal1.61611711113LSep 19 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko11.009960S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113WSep 19 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko2.0011119123V. Komar1.738811101LSep 18 · 16:59D. Kryshtal1.57111011113S. Kushnirenko2.25912451WSep 18 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko3.2511118113S. Balabei1.33881121WSep 18 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.20101112113D. Kryshtal1.611291091LSep 18 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.006111111112V. Komar1.73116138133LSep 18 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko10.505750S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 16 · 17:29S. Balabei1.401111137113S. Kushnirenko2.75513111192
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