TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Horokh vs Vadim Komar 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111141149111214
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 93 set 5, 12-14
93 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 159–78 Vadim Komar Vadim Komar has won 78 of their 237 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Komar beat Horokh 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.40 / Komar 2.75
Setka Cup · #13221697
Horokh1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 296 of 438
Up 2–0, closes it97% 156 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it84% 226 of 270
Komar2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 60 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh7wins
AwayKomar3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh80%4 of 5
AwayKomar40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S2Horokh4Komar6n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S3Horokh5Komar5n = 10split evenly
S4Horokh6Komar3n = 9Horokh took 6 of 9
S5Horokh3Komar0n = 3Horokh took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKomarH − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.3+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime692 / 1226 vs 233 / 60056.4%38.8%692 / 1226 vs 233 / 600Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.40/Komar 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Komar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 06:00R. Horokh174850V. Komar331111113
WSep 23 · 15:00R. Horokh5511111111113V. Komar4851313982
LSep 22 · 15:00R. Horokh28119531V. Komar3851111113
WSep 12 · 07:30R. Horokh43101111113V. Komar30127831
LSep 11 · 15:00R. Horokh3912116101V. Komar4614911123
WSep 9 · 15:00R. Horokh49791111113V. Komar4311117772
WSep 8 · 16:00R. Horokh44111111113V. Komar35138771
WAug 29 · 06:30R. Horokh4311115163V. Komar409611141
WAug 28 · 16:30R. Horokh48118126113V. Komar47611101192
WAug 26 · 07:30R. Horokh4211713113V. Komar333111181
R. Horokh10
WSep 30 · 09:00S. Kiilo5.003650R. Horokh1.141111113WSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133LSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 30 · 05:00D. Kryshtal2.501161651R. Horokh1.50131114113WSep 29 · 17:03R. Horokh1.50115117113D. Kryshtal2.5071191142WSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.50611661R. Horokh1.5011511113WSep 29 · 12:30M. Levytskii5.50811571R. Horokh1.1311711113WSep 25 · 17:09D. Kryshtal2.50121171172R. Horokh1.50149113113WSep 25 · 16:30S. Bului3.75183621R. Horokh1.25161111113
V. Komar10
WSep 30 · 09:30V. Komar2.501151112113D. Kryshtal1.5051191472LSep 30 · 08:30V. Komar2.63119156102I. Shyndel1.443111311123WSep 30 · 07:00V. Komar1.3311911113S. Kiilo3.25511731WSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 26 · 10:28I. Shyndel1.408340V. Komar2.751111113WSep 26 · 09:30V. Komar1.40111011113S. Bului2.75412771LSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar2.757111151I. Shyndel1.4011913113LSep 26 · 07:00V. Komar8.507880S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LSep 26 · 06:00V. Komar2.50771111D. Kryshtal1.5011116113LSep 23 · 16:00V. Komar2.507116101D. Kryshtal1.5011911123
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