TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Igor Shyndel vs Roman Horokh 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11410128111113––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:31 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Roman Horokh @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingIgor Shyndel above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 80 set 4, 11-13 · our read held Roman Horokh at 56.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Igor Shyndel 54–45 Roman Horokh Roman Horokh has won 45 of their 99 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 06:3156.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
54-45 in 99
Shyndel
Wrong
gap of 9 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shyndel 1879 vs Horokh 1951
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shyndel 60% vs Horokh 80%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shyndel 50% vs Horokh 80%
Horokh
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shyndel -1 · Horokh -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Horokh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShyndel 2.00 / Horokh 1.727
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Horokh)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218452
Shyndel2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 14 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Horokh1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 296 of 438
Up 2–0, closes it97% 156 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it84% 226 of 270
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShyndel3wins
AwayHorokh7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShyndel50%3 of 6
AwayHorokh100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shyndel6Horokh4n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S2Shyndel4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Shyndel5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S4Shyndel1Horokh7n = 8Horokh took 7 of 8
S5Shyndel1Horokh2n = 3Horokh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricShyndelHorokhS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.138.4−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShyndelHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 277 vs 690 / 122446.6%56.4%129 / 277 vs 690 / 1224Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhShyndel 2.00/Horokh 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Roman Horokh @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
1–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 16:00I. Shyndel4011611482R. Horokh47711711113
WSep 25 · 13:30I. Shyndel331111113R. Horokh199550
LAug 23 · 05:30I. Shyndel311211531R. Horokh45101311113
LAug 21 · 17:33I. Shyndel26911421R. Horokh3811511113
LAug 21 · 13:00I. Shyndel32791241R. Horokh43111110113
WJul 25 · 12:00I. Shyndel43117113113R. Horokh3921191162
LJul 17 · 09:00I. Shyndel47116111092R. Horokh50811812113
LJul 11 · 12:00I. Shyndel30711661R. Horokh3811511113
WJun 7 · 17:18I. Shyndel4011117113R. Horokh32951171
LJun 7 · 13:30I. Shyndel199730R. Horokh331111113
I. Shyndel10
LSep 30 · 06:30D. Kryshtal1.7311118113I. Shyndel2.00661171WSep 30 · 05:30I. Shyndel1.201113113S. Kiilo4.3351150WSep 29 · 16:33I. Shyndel1.281111113M. Levytskii3.508760LSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:30M. Levytskii3.008890I. Shyndel1.361111113LSep 29 · 13:00D. Kryshtal1.831111113I. Shyndel1.838840LSep 26 · 10:28I. Shyndel1.408340V. Komar2.751111113WSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar2.757111151I. Shyndel1.4011913113LSep 26 · 07:30I. Shyndel1.8310119111D. Kryshtal1.8312911133WSep 26 · 06:30S. Bului3.75117651I. Shyndel1.2571111113
R. Horokh10
LSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 30 · 05:00D. Kryshtal2.501161651R. Horokh1.50131114113WSep 29 · 17:03R. Horokh1.50115117113D. Kryshtal2.5071191142WSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.50611661R. Horokh1.5011511113WSep 29 · 12:30M. Levytskii5.50811571R. Horokh1.1311711113WSep 25 · 17:09D. Kryshtal2.50121171172R. Horokh1.50149113113WSep 25 · 16:30S. Bului3.75183621R. Horokh1.25161111113WSep 25 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5081311113D. Kryshtal2.501111371LSep 25 · 13:30R. Horokh1.809550I. Shyndel1.911111113
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