TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Bului vs Igor Shyndel 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711611511––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Igor Shyndel at 78.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 2–12 Igor Shyndel Serhii Bului has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-12 in 14
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bului 1698 vs Shyndel 1916
Shyndel
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bului 0% vs Shyndel 40%
Shyndel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bului 30% vs Shyndel 50%
Shyndel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bului -5 · Shyndel -2
Bului
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Shyndel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 3.75 / Shyndel 1.25
Signal prob.22% / 79%
Edge (Shyndel)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13196138
Bului3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog11% won 8 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Shyndel1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 36 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului0wins
AwayShyndel10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuluin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayShyndel100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului2Shyndel8n = 10Shyndel took 8 of 10
S2Bului3Shyndel7n = 10Shyndel took 7 of 10
S3Bului1Shyndel9n = 10Shyndel took 9 of 10
S4Bului1Shyndel5n = 6Shyndel took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiShyndelB − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.837.9−9.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 215 vs 125 / 26848.4%46.6%104 / 215 vs 125 / 268Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelBului 3.75/Shyndel 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 26 · 06:30S. Bului29117651I. Shyndel4071111113
LSep 25 · 15:30S. Bului389117111I. Shyndel4311811133
LAug 21 · 14:00S. Bului27710100I. Shyndel351112123
LAug 16 · 05:30S. Bului2915680I. Shyndel391711113
LAug 9 · 07:30S. Bului32511971I. Shyndel3911611113
LAug 8 · 12:00S. Bului35711891I. Shyndel4011711113
LJul 18 · 07:30S. Bului198830I. Shyndel331111113
LJun 13 · 06:30S. Bului2310670I. Shyndel341211113
LJun 7 · 12:00S. Bului27119611I. Shyndel3851111113
S. Bului10
LSep 26 · 05:00S. Bului3.505630D. Kryshtal1.281111113LSep 25 · 16:30S. Bului3.75183621R. Horokh1.25161111113LSep 25 · 15:30S. Bului3.759117111I. Shyndel1.2511811133LSep 25 · 14:00S. Bului3.5091040D. Kryshtal1.281112113LSep 25 · 13:00S. Bului3.4012670S. Balabei1.301411113WSep 13 · 10:10O. Torianyk2.3811371282S. Bului1.537111110113WSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:30S. Bului1.4041111882P. Kolesnik2.75117711113LSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.501111113S. Bului1.508990WSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661
I. Shyndel10
LSep 26 · 05:30I. Shyndel10.008530S. Ponomarenko1.031111113LSep 25 · 17:33S. Balabei1.25111011113I. Shyndel3.75212891WSep 25 · 15:30S. Bului3.759117111I. Shyndel1.2511811133LSep 25 · 14:30I. Shyndel1.7311118852S. Balabei2.00991111113WSep 25 · 13:30R. Horokh1.809550I. Shyndel1.911111113WSep 25 · 12:30I. Shyndel1.8311116113D. Kryshtal1.83881171LSep 19 · 10:04I. Shyndel10.509660S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.368960V. Komar3.001111113WSep 19 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8013114992I. Shyndel1.911171111113WSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113
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