TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Balabei vs Igor Shyndel 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121012118119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSerhii Balabei above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Balabei 12–29 Igor Shyndel Serhii Balabei has won 12 of their 41 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Balabei beat Shyndel 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Balabei)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalabei 1.25 / Shyndel 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Balabei)-0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13195976
Balabei1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 195 of 278
Up 2–0, closes it96% 97 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it86% 141 of 165
Shyndel3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 13 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back5% 1 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBalabei3wins
AwayShyndel7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderShyndel leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBalabei40%2 of 5
AwayShyndel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Balabei5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S2Balabei5Shyndel5n = 10split evenly
S3Balabei4Shyndel6n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S4Balabei1Shyndel5n = 6Shyndel took 5 of 6
S5Balabei1Shyndel2n = 3Shyndel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBalabeiShyndelB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.139.1−5.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalabeiShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime518 / 1008 vs 124 / 26551.4%46.8%518 / 1008 vs 124 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalabeiBalabei 1.25/Shyndel 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Balabei · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Balabei won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 14:30S. Balabei51991111113I. Shyndel4311118852
LAug 22 · 16:00S. Balabei47711111172I. Shyndel49116813113
LAug 21 · 16:30S. Balabei28611471I. Shyndel3911611113
WAug 15 · 12:00S. Balabei341211113I. Shyndel2210930
LAug 1 · 16:59S. Balabei47111161542I. Shyndel55791117113
LAug 1 · 16:00S. Balabei25119321I. Shyndel3851111113
WJul 25 · 15:00S. Balabei411112183I. Shyndel35910160
LJun 21 · 16:30S. Balabei32131991I. Shyndel44111111113
LJun 14 · 17:13S. Balabei166370I. Shyndel331111113
LJun 14 · 15:00S. Balabei208930I. Shyndel331111113
S. Balabei10
LSep 25 · 16:00D. Kryshtal2.50119711133S. Balabei1.50511117112WSep 25 · 14:30I. Shyndel1.7311118852S. Balabei2.00991111113WSep 25 · 13:00S. Bului3.4012670S. Balabei1.301411113WSep 25 · 12:00R. Horokh1.7381311582S. Balabei2.001111811113LSep 23 · 17:28S. Balabei1.91911461R. Horokh1.8011811113WSep 23 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko3.008880S. Balabei1.361111113WSep 23 · 14:30S. Balabei1.5311118113D. Kryshtal2.38891181WSep 23 · 13:30R. Horokh1.83119101172S. Balabei1.83811129113LSep 23 · 12:30S. Balabei1.80121051142V. Komar1.911012118113WSep 22 · 16:59S. Balabei1.50121211113D. Kryshtal2.5010101381
I. Shyndel10
WSep 25 · 15:30S. Bului3.759117111I. Shyndel1.2511811133LSep 25 · 14:30I. Shyndel1.7311118852S. Balabei2.00991111113WSep 25 · 13:30R. Horokh1.809550I. Shyndel1.911111113WSep 25 · 12:30I. Shyndel1.8311116113D. Kryshtal1.83881171LSep 19 · 10:04I. Shyndel10.509660S. Ponomarenko1.021111113LSep 19 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.368960V. Komar3.001111113WSep 19 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.8013114992I. Shyndel1.911171111113WSep 19 · 07:00S. Kushnirenko1.916340I. Shyndel1.801111113LSep 19 · 05:30S. Ponomarenko1.031112113I. Shyndel10.0091070LAug 23 · 09:00I. Shyndel1.366111181V. Komar3.0011713113
Upcoming Matches
S. Balabei
Nothing scheduled
I. Shyndel
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