TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Horokh vs Dmytro Kryshtal 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511119711114
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Dmytro Kryshtal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 87 set 5, 11-4
87 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 97–65 Dmytro Kryshtal Dmytro Kryshtal has won 65 of their 162 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Horokh beat Kryshtal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.50 / Kryshtal 2.50
Setka Cup · #13218128
Horokh1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 292 of 437
Up 2–0, closes it96% 156 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it83% 223 of 269
Kryshtal2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 74 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back10% 18 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh6wins
AwayKryshtal4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh66.7%4 of 6
AwayKryshtal50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh6Kryshtal4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S2Horokh6Kryshtal4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S3Horokh4Kryshtal6n = 10Kryshtal took 6 of 10
S4Horokh6Kryshtal4n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S5Horokh2Kryshtal2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhKryshtalH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.540.1+2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhKryshtalBasisWin rate · lifetime688 / 1221 vs 344 / 79356.4%43.4%688 / 1221 vs 344 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.50/Kryshtal 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 17:09R. Horokh48149113113D. Kryshtal48121171172
WSep 25 · 15:00R. Horokh4381311113D. Kryshtal321111371
WSep 23 · 12:00R. Horokh4211812113D. Kryshtal304111051
LSep 22 · 13:30R. Horokh36914761D. Kryshtal45111211113
LSep 16 · 16:59R. Horokh335111161D. Kryshtal4011513113
LSep 16 · 13:30R. Horokh4511791172D. Kryshtal48911116113
WSep 15 · 13:30R. Horokh491111124113D. Kryshtal4749141192
WSep 12 · 06:30R. Horokh3851111113D. Kryshtal32117861
LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh4411771182D. Kryshtal40511112113
WSep 9 · 13:30R. Horokh47111114113D. Kryshtal39971671
R. Horokh10
WSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.50611661R. Horokh1.5011511113WSep 29 · 12:30M. Levytskii5.50811571R. Horokh1.1311711113WSep 25 · 17:09D. Kryshtal2.50121171172R. Horokh1.50149113113WSep 25 · 16:30S. Bului3.75183621R. Horokh1.25161111113WSep 25 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5081311113D. Kryshtal2.501111371LSep 25 · 13:30R. Horokh1.809550I. Shyndel1.911111113LSep 25 · 12:00R. Horokh1.7381311582S. Balabei2.001111811113WSep 23 · 17:28S. Balabei1.91911461R. Horokh1.8011811113WSep 23 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.2077111142R. Horokh1.61111137113
D. Kryshtal10
WSep 29 · 15:30D. Kryshtal1.731111113M. Levytskii2.006540LSep 29 · 14:00D. Kryshtal2.50611661R. Horokh1.5011511113WSep 29 · 13:00D. Kryshtal1.831111113I. Shyndel1.838840LSep 26 · 10:00D. Kryshtal8.004850S. Ponomarenko1.061111113LSep 26 · 09:00S. Ponomarenko1.061111113D. Kryshtal8.009890WSep 26 · 07:30I. Shyndel1.8310119111D. Kryshtal1.8312911133WSep 26 · 06:00V. Komar2.50771111D. Kryshtal1.5011116113WSep 26 · 05:00S. Bului3.505630D. Kryshtal1.281111113LSep 25 · 17:09D. Kryshtal2.50121171172R. Horokh1.50149113113LSep 25 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5081311113D. Kryshtal2.501111371
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