TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Komar vs Igor Shyndel 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11391115136111012
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:25 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIgor Shyndel to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Komar above · Igor Shyndel below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Igor Shyndel at 65.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Komar 21–51 Igor Shyndel Vadim Komar has won 21 of their 72 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2565.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Shyndel
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-51 in 72
Shyndel
Correct
gap of 30 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komar 1842 vs Shyndel 1869
Shyndel
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komar 80% vs Shyndel 40%
Komar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komar 40% vs Shyndel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komar +4 · Shyndel -2
Komar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Shyndel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shyndel form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomar 2.625 / Shyndel 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Shyndel)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13218410
Komar2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 60 of 142
Down 0–1, comes back26% 23 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Shyndel1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomar5wins
AwayShyndel5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomar100%4 of 4
AwayShyndel83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komar4Shyndel6n = 10Shyndel took 6 of 10
S2Komar6Shyndel4n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S3Komar6Shyndel4n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S4Komar3Shyndel2n = 5Komar took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomarShyndelK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.934.0+0.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomarShyndelBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 598 vs 129 / 27838.8%46.4%232 / 598 vs 129 / 278Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.234.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ShyndelKomar 2.63/Shyndel 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Shyndel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shyndel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 10:28V. Komar331111113I. Shyndel158340
LSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar347111151I. Shyndel4411913113
WSep 19 · 09:00V. Komar331111113I. Shyndel238960
WAug 23 · 09:00V. Komar4211713113I. Shyndel366111181
WAug 22 · 13:00V. Komar351113113I. Shyndel2251160
LAug 16 · 10:03V. Komar2349100I. Shyndel341111123
LAug 16 · 09:00V. Komar33591181I. Shyndel4111118113
LAug 15 · 17:35V. Komar4251171182I. Shyndel47115119113
WAug 15 · 16:30V. Komar4891111173I. Shyndel431198151
LAug 9 · 05:30V. Komar2671180I. Shyndel351113113
V. Komar10
WSep 30 · 07:00V. Komar1.3311911113S. Kiilo3.25511731WSep 30 · 06:00V. Komar2.501111113R. Horokh1.504850WSep 26 · 10:28I. Shyndel1.408340V. Komar2.751111113WSep 26 · 09:30V. Komar1.40111011113S. Bului2.75412771LSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar2.757111151I. Shyndel1.4011913113LSep 26 · 07:00V. Komar8.507880S. Ponomarenko1.051111113LSep 26 · 06:00V. Komar2.50771111D. Kryshtal1.5011116113LSep 23 · 16:00V. Komar2.507116101D. Kryshtal1.5011911123LSep 23 · 15:00R. Horokh1.4011111111113V. Komar2.7551313982LSep 23 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko1.91118714113V. Komar1.80511111272
I. Shyndel10
LSep 30 · 07:30I. Shyndel2.0011108111R. Horokh1.7341211133LSep 30 · 06:30D. Kryshtal1.7311118113I. Shyndel2.00661171WSep 30 · 05:30I. Shyndel1.201113113S. Kiilo4.3351150WSep 29 · 16:33I. Shyndel1.281111113M. Levytskii3.508760LSep 29 · 16:00R. Horokh1.73711711113I. Shyndel2.0011611482WSep 29 · 14:30M. Levytskii3.008890I. Shyndel1.361111113LSep 29 · 13:00D. Kryshtal1.831111113I. Shyndel1.838840LSep 26 · 10:28I. Shyndel1.408340V. Komar2.751111113WSep 26 · 08:30V. Komar2.757111151I. Shyndel1.4011913113LSep 26 · 07:30I. Shyndel1.8310119111D. Kryshtal1.8312911133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.