TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Pomin vs Yevhenii Holoborodko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:55 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Pomin to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Pomin above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Roman Pomin at 58.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Roman Pomin 6–5 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5558.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pomin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pomin 1590 vs Holoborodko 1530
Pomin
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pomin 40% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pomin 50% vs Holoborodko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pomin -1 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Pomin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPomin 1.615 / Holoborodko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pomin)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234432
Pomin1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 10 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Holoborodko2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePomin6wins
AwayHoloborodko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPomin leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePomin83.3%5 of 6
AwayHoloborodko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pomin6Holoborodko4n = 10Pomin took 6 of 10
S2Pomin2Holoborodko8n = 10Holoborodko took 8 of 10
S3Pomin7Holoborodko1n = 8Pomin took 7 of 8
S4Pomin6Holoborodko2n = 8Pomin took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPominHoloborodkoP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.4+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPominHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 140 vs 345 / 67351.4%51.3%72 / 140 vs 345 / 673Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PominPomin 1.61/Holoborodko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Pomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 20 · 11:00R. Pomin51127121192Y. Holoborodko541411108113
WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin51119911113Y. Holoborodko4591111682
LJul 18 · 11:10R. Pomin335101171Y. Holoborodko4311129113
WJul 4 · 11:10R. Pomin3961111113Y. Holoborodko33118681
WMay 23 · 11:10R. Pomin4011611123Y. Holoborodko334118101
WMay 9 · 14:40R. Pomin3711411113Y. Holoborodko30411691
WApr 4 · 14:40R. Pomin4211911113Y. Holoborodko31811481
R. Pomin10
LSep 20 · 11:00R. Pomin1.61127121192Y. Holoborodko2.201411108113WSep 20 · 09:00A. Droshchynskyi1.6111121171R. Pomin2.2013146113LSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn2.0051112113R. Pomin1.731181051WSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LAug 15 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.384101111123R. Pomin1.53111289102WAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682LAug 15 · 14:40R. Pomin1.507111091R. Sopivnyk2.5011812113WAug 15 · 13:10R. Pomin1.83811118133O. Varlamov1.83117811112WAug 15 · 11:10R. Pomin1.73111139113O. Blashkun2.0098111142
Y. Holoborodko10
WOct 3 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.61951191Y. Holoborodko2.2011116113LOct 1 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.006880M. Tiutiunnyk1.731111113WOct 1 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.80711119102Y. Holoborodko1.91113711123LOct 1 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.4011114113Y. Holoborodko2.75831191WOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770LOct 1 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko1.531111113Y. Holoborodko2.382780LSep 30 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.731281111113Y. Holoborodko2.00101113992LSep 30 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6311812972D. Habrelyan1.449111011113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Pomin1.61127121192Y. Holoborodko2.201411108113LAug 15 · 15:40R. Pomin1.61119911113Y. Holoborodko2.2091111682
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.