TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Holoborodko vs Maksym Tiutiunnyk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Maksym Tiutiunnyk @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 21–22 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 21 of their 43 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 16:3454.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-22 in 43
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1542 vs Tiutiunnyk 1588
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 40% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 50% vs Tiutiunnyk 30%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko +1 · Tiutiunnyk -3
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.00 / Tiutiunnyk 1.727
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13224752
Holoborodko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 64
Tiutiunnyk1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 68 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko1wins
AwayTiutiunnyk9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodko20%1 of 5
AwayTiutiunnyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Holoborodko4Tiutiunnyk6n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S3Holoborodko5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Holoborodko1Tiutiunnyk8n = 9Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 9
S5Holoborodko1Tiutiunnyk4n = 5Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoTiutiunnykH − TBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.744.9−6.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime345 / 672 vs 205 / 41551.3%49.4%345 / 672 vs 205 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykHoloborodko 2.00/Tiutiunnyk 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Maksym Tiutiunnyk @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
0–3
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 30 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko52101113992M. Tiutiunnyk531281111113
LSep 24 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko3711410121M. Tiutiunnyk4361112143
LSep 23 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko3651111632M. Tiutiunnyk45117511113
LSep 20 · 06:30Y. Holoborodko4911911992M. Tiutiunnyk45711511113
WSep 19 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko49119711113M. Tiutiunnyk4481111952
LSep 13 · 05:00Y. Holoborodko29611931M. Tiutiunnyk4211911113
LSep 12 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko49127121082M. Tiutiunnyk5410111012113
LSep 10 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko189720M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LSep 9 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko291121241M. Tiutiunnyk45131110113
Y. Holoborodko10
WOct 1 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.80711119102Y. Holoborodko1.91113711123LOct 1 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.4011114113Y. Holoborodko2.75831191WOct 1 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.751311113V. Maksuta1.4011770LOct 1 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko1.531111113Y. Holoborodko2.382780LSep 30 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.731281111113Y. Holoborodko2.00101113992LSep 30 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6311812972D. Habrelyan1.449111011113WSep 30 · 14:10I. Efimenko1.73611751Y. Holoborodko2.0011611113LSep 30 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.441213113Y. Holoborodko2.63101180WSep 30 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.73101214782Y. Holoborodko2.0012101211113WSep 26 · 17:40Y. Makovka2.75117111172Y. Holoborodko1.40131199113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LOct 1 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.759950V. Maksuta1.401111113LOct 1 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko1.8311117113M. Tiutiunnyk1.83741161LOct 1 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov1.501111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.505840WOct 1 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.4471060M. Tiutiunnyk2.631112113WSep 30 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.731281111113Y. Holoborodko2.00101113992LSep 30 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.531111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.386590LSep 30 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6791111123M. Tiutiunnyk2.101149101LSep 30 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.67811131262D. Habrelyan2.101181510113WSep 30 · 11:40I. Efimenko1.837119111M. Tiutiunnyk1.8311211133LSep 26 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.6111168742O. Blashkun2.204141111113
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