TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Evhenii Hrytsenko vs Maksym Tiutiunnyk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114711116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 14–16 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1638 vs Tiutiunnyk 1609
Hrytsenko
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
Hrytsenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 50% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +3 · Tiutiunnyk -1
Hrytsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.833 / Tiutiunnyk 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13224743
Hrytsenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Tiutiunnyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko4wins
AwayTiutiunnyk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko50%3 of 6
AwayTiutiunnyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko3Tiutiunnyk7n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S3Hrytsenko7Tiutiunnyk3n = 10Hrytsenko took 7 of 10
S4Hrytsenko3Tiutiunnyk4n = 7Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 7
S5Hrytsenko1Tiutiunnyk3n = 4Tiutiunnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoTiutiunnykH − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.437.2+0.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 648 vs 205 / 41349.1%49.6%318 / 648 vs 205 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.83/Tiutiunnyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 11:30E. Hrytsenko258980M. Tiutiunnyk331111113
LJul 2 · 11:10E. Hrytsenko3811711272M. Tiutiunnyk49911711113
LJun 18 · 15:10E. Hrytsenko28621191M. Tiutiunnyk3911116113
LMay 21 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko341110491M. Tiutiunnyk4281211113
WApr 9 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko44641211113M. Tiutiunnyk43111110472
WApr 1 · 11:10E. Hrytsenko4111811113M. Tiutiunnyk26511371
WMar 11 · 17:40E. Hrytsenko331111113M. Tiutiunnyk197480
LMar 4 · 15:40E. Hrytsenko52141181092M. Tiutiunnyk511251112113
WFeb 21 · 17:40E. Hrytsenko331111113M. Tiutiunnyk196490
LFeb 19 · 16:10E. Hrytsenko4697111182M. Tiutiunnyk51111199113
E. Hrytsenko10
LOct 1 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov2.00912119113E. Hrytsenko1.73111071152WOct 1 · 13:10V. Merzlikin2.00113761E. Hrytsenko1.7351111113WOct 1 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko1.531111113Y. Holoborodko2.382780WSep 29 · 11:50E. Hrytsenko1.83112611113M. Mrykh1.8371111972LSep 29 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko2.507950A. Derevianko1.501111113LSep 29 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.75614161V. Savoliuk1.40111211113LSep 29 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.7310690I. Nitchenko2.001211113WSep 29 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.7581111113O. Strutinskiy1.40116651LSep 28 · 17:10E. Hrytsenko1.73911951O. Zhyrnov2.0011711113LSep 28 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.8012711113E. Hrytsenko1.911011441
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LOct 1 · 12:10O. Zhyrnov1.501111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.505840WOct 1 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.4471060M. Tiutiunnyk2.631112113WSep 30 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.731281111113Y. Holoborodko2.00101113992LSep 30 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.531111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.386590LSep 30 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6791111123M. Tiutiunnyk2.101149101LSep 30 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.67811131262D. Habrelyan2.101181510113WSep 30 · 11:40I. Efimenko1.837119111M. Tiutiunnyk1.8311211133LSep 26 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.6111168742O. Blashkun2.204141111113LSep 26 · 15:10A. Droshchynskyi1.3611117113M. Tiutiunnyk3.00971171WSep 26 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.731110111153Y. Holoborodko2.0013129812
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