TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Pozarsky vs Richard Krejci 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012114811711––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:56 and never touched: 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Pozarsky to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Pozarsky above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Jiri Pozarsky at 61.6%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pozarsky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pozarsky 1621 vs Krejci 1586
Pozarsky
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pozarsky 80% vs Krejci 40%
Pozarsky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pozarsky 60% vs Krejci 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pozarsky +3 · Krejci -1
Pozarsky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Pozarsky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pozarsky form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPozarsky 1.53 / Krejci 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Pozarsky)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13216997
Pozarsky1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 29 days ago (Aug 31) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Krejci2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 29 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPozarskyKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 346 vs 195 / 36847.4%53%164 / 346 vs 195 / 368Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PozarskyPozarsky 1.53/Krejci 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Pozarsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krejci won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pozarsky10
LSep 29 · 19:30K. Brozhik1.361112812143J. Pozarsky3.008101114122WAug 31 · 21:30J. Pozarsky1.651112113J. Stolfa2.1051060WAug 31 · 20:30J. Stolfa2.00881451J. Pozarsky1.73111112113WAug 31 · 19:30J. Pozarsky2.5091211113J. Hradecky1.501110931LAug 31 · 18:30S. Kadavy1.73512119113J. Pozarsky2.00111061162WAug 29 · 16:58P. Budinsky1.40115391J. Pozarsky2.7571111113LAug 29 · 16:00J. Pozarsky1.7311891582D. Tuma2.005111113113LAug 29 · 15:30T. Vinter1.911111113J. Pozarsky1.807760LAug 29 · 14:00J. Pozarsky1.57119861P. Budinsky2.2581111113WAug 26 · 17:30J. Stolfa2.0099120J. Pozarsky1.731111143
R. Krejci10
WSep 29 · 19:00R. Krejci1.611111113T. Janata2.209960LSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111WSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 22 · 00:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111WSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113WSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda1.871181891R. Krejci1.8341120113WSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242LSep 21 · 01:30D. Kouble2.251115106113R. Krejci1.57513121192WSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360
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