TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Krejci vs Tomas Janata 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119116––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched: 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeRichard Krejci to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Krejci above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Richard Krejci at 56.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Richard Krejci 21–12 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 12 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krejci
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-12 in 33
Krejci
Correct
gap of 9 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krejci 1599 vs Janata 1634
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejci 40% vs Janata 60%
Janata
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejci 60% vs Janata 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejci +1 · Janata -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Krejci) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejci 1.61 / Janata 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krejci)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216042
Krejci1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 53 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Janata2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog30% won 23 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back10% 4 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrejci5wins
AwayJanata5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrejci66.7%2 of 3
AwayJanata57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krejci3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Krejci6Janata4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S3Krejci6Janata4n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S4Krejci5Janata4n = 9Krejci took 5 of 9
S5Krejci2Janata2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrejciJanataK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.1+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejciJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 359 vs 451 / 84752.4%53.3%188 / 359 vs 451 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrejciKrejci 1.61/Janata 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.3%
Krejci · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejci won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:59R. Krejci351311113T. Janata2311750
WSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci507111011113T. Janata4511812682
WSep 4 · 22:30R. Krejci4181111113T. Janata37119891
LSep 1 · 01:00R. Krejci369101161T. Janata4311129113
LAug 18 · 02:00R. Krejci47111071182T. Janata45312118113
LAug 9 · 23:30R. Krejci4788111192T. Janata48111169113
WJan 19 · 23:30R. Krejci48141139113T. Janata47128111152
LDec 9 · 03:30R. Krejci33411991T. Janata4011711113
LDec 5 · 00:30R. Krejci381091181T. Janata4212118113
WDec 3 · 02:30R. Krejci4071111113T. Janata31118661
R. Krejci10
WSep 29 · 18:00J. Pozarsky1.531011871R. Krejci2.3812411113LSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111WSep 22 · 02:00R. Krejci2.001111144113P. Zmuda1.7399161192LSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 22 · 00:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111WSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113WSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda1.871181891R. Krejci1.8341120113WSep 21 · 02:30R. Krejci2.251116510113P. Zmuda1.57614111242LSep 21 · 01:30D. Kouble2.251115106113R. Krejci1.57513121192WSep 21 · 00:00R. Krejci1.441111113V. Postelt2.635360
T. Janata10
LSep 29 · 18:30T. Janata2.6311116752K. Brozhik1.44481111113WSep 28 · 21:30T. Janata1.731111113R. Pavelka2.004390WSep 28 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.739970T. Janata2.001111113LSep 28 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.251113113T. Janata1.5781150WSep 28 · 18:30T. Janata1.4011811113J. Trefny2.75211661WSep 28 · 03:30T. Janata1.651112113M. Chlebecek2.1091090LSep 28 · 01:30T. Janata1.61413611102M. Chlebecek2.201111115123WSep 28 · 00:30V. Cermak2.10812641T. Janata1.67111011113WSep 27 · 23:30D. Tuma2.003630T. Janata1.731111113WSep 27 · 22:30T. Janata1.5011155113M. Vedmoch2.504131181
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