TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Zajac vs Dominik Stefek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118511911––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:11 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDominik Stefek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Dominik Stefek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Dominik Stefek at 58.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zajac 0–2 Dominik Stefek Radek Zajac has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1268 vs Stefek 1385
Stefek
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 40% vs Stefek 60%
Stefek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 50% vs Stefek 70%
Stefek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac -2 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Stefek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 2.25 / Stefek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Stefek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13213409
Zajac2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 10 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Stefek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 18 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it59% 13 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZajac0wins
AwayStefek2wins
Stefek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZajacStefekZ − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match33.040.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 42 vs 50 / 10233.3%49%14 / 42 vs 50 / 102Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StefekZajac 2.25/Stefek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 29 · 07:15R. Zajac33811591D. Stefek4111811113
LAug 20 · 16:10R. Zajac331061161D. Stefek3912115113
R. Zajac10
LSep 29 · 05:45J. Matus1.83111189113R. Zajac1.8386111122LSep 16 · 09:20J. Sindler1.36101111113R. Zajac3.00124971WSep 16 · 08:15L. Snr1.5793111182R. Zajac2.25111199113LSep 16 · 07:15R. Zajac2.631147121J. Sindler1.4491111143WSep 16 · 05:45L. Zustina1.6710770R. Zajac2.101211113WSep 10 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.259770R. Zajac3.751111113LSep 10 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.3061111113R. Zajac3.40118641WSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac2.501112113T. Slivka1.5071090WSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690
D. Stefek10
WSep 29 · 06:15D. Stefek1.5061111113M. Sobota2.50119681LSep 13 · 09:15D. Stefek1.80714101392J. Sindler1.9111121211113LSep 13 · 08:15D. Stefek1.5712740R. Jancak2.251411113WSep 13 · 06:45T. Ogrocki2.5011451192D. Stefek1.50311119113WSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler1.9110550D. Stefek1.801211113WSep 11 · 09:20D. Stefek1.831111113J. Sindler1.839580LSep 11 · 07:45D. Stefek1.671310155102P. Sturma2.1011121311123WSep 11 · 06:45D. Stefek1.83124114113J. Sindler1.83101181182WSep 11 · 05:45D. Stefek1.61611811113R. Jancak2.2011211722WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113
Upcoming Matches
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